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Hog bulding logic
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Kooiker
Posted 12/26/2012 10:01 (#2776615 - in reply to #2776542)
Subject: Re: Hog bulding logic



A CME lean hog contract is 40,000 lbs of carcass weight, NOT liveweight.

If you sell hogs that avg 270 lbs live and yield 74% you will have about 200 lbs of carcass weight/hd.     So it takes roughly 200 hd to fill a contract.

 

 

There is no "normal" basis.     That is what makes forward contracting hogs on the CME so unreliable.

Packing plant cash prices can vary from $5 or more over the CME to $10 or more under the CME.      

Basis varies by the season and varies a lot when the lead month changes.    Weather can have a huge impact on basis as well.  

 

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