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updated numbers. fwiw.
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JonSCKs
Posted 8/15/2013 18:33 (#3269712)
Subject: updated numbers. fwiw.


Okay.. I forced all the PP acreage reduction into the HARVESTED.. (which is wrong) to show the changes.  I figure (roughly) 92% of planted is harvested and it varies by state.. so..??  Didn't want to touch that..  I corrected the reduction on the OTHER states.. which the real # is -746 k and will caution that the planted estimate could change also.. (higher..??)   Then I took the yield back to USDA's number.. (insert yield debate here..) oops actually bumped it a little on the now lower acreage..pretty consistent with how it's done (USDA could go higher.. subject to conditions..)

I tried to make Ray J happy on the feed # (probably won't..??)

My price is a WAG..

"all models are wrong but some are useful.."

Fire away..

2013/14 Corn Production
HarvestedYieldsProduction
USDAJonSCKsUSDAUSDAJonSCKsUSDAJonSCKs
Jun-13changeJul-13Aug-13changeAug-13change
IA1350012887-613163163022005002100581-99919
IL1190011698-202165165019635001930170-33330
NE98009789-11161161015778001576029-1771
MN82007584-616166166013612001258944-102256
IN59005833-671661660979400968278-11122
SD53005216-841381380731400719808-11592
KS42004159-411161160487200482444-4756
OH36803676-41721720632960632272-688
WI32502985-2651441440468000429840-38160
ND36003101-4991161160417600359716-57884
MO32503005-2451301300422500390650-31850
MI24702452-181581580390260387416-2844
total:-396172
Other14085140850 <<Forced to fit (real -746 )1542167001216700136578
in order to show decrease by state
US89.13586.47-2665156.5154.4155 ??13762.4413403-360
-3411actual on planted/intended
13366.27
2013/14 Corn11236.15
Balance SheetUSDAJonSCKsChange
13403.15
Planted97.494-3.413.41
Harvested89.186.47-2.63 ??
Yield154.471550.53 ??
Production1376313403-360
Imports304515
Carry In7197190
Total Supply1451214167-345
Feed51004750-350 Ray J
FS&I63506450100
Etoh4900497575
Exports12251425200
Total Useage1267512625-50
Carry Out18371542-295
Avg Price$4.90$5.45$0.55
$$/acre$756.90$844.75$87.85        
             
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