Okay.. I forced all the PP acreage reduction into the HARVESTED.. (which is wrong) to show the changes. I figure (roughly) 92% of planted is harvested and it varies by state.. so..?? Didn't want to touch that.. I corrected the reduction on the OTHER states.. which the real # is -746 k and will caution that the planted estimate could change also.. (higher..??) Then I took the yield back to USDA's number.. (insert yield debate here..) oops actually bumped it a little on the now lower acreage..pretty consistent with how it's done (USDA could go higher.. subject to conditions..)
I tried to make Ray J happy on the feed # (probably won't..??)
My price is a WAG..
"all models are wrong but some are useful.."
Fire away..
2013/14 Corn Production | | | | | | | | | | | | Harvested | | | Yields | | | | | Production | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | USDA | JonSCKs | | | USDA | USDA | JonSCKs | | | USDA | JonSCKs | | | Jun-13 | | change | | Jul-13 | Aug-13 | | change | | Aug-13 | | change | | | | | | | | | | | | | | IA | 13500 | 12887 | -613 | | | 163 | 163 | 0 | | 2200500 | 2100581 | -99919 | IL | 11900 | 11698 | -202 | | | 165 | 165 | 0 | | 1963500 | 1930170 | -33330 | NE | 9800 | 9789 | -11 | | | 161 | 161 | 0 | | 1577800 | 1576029 | -1771 | MN | 8200 | 7584 | -616 | | | 166 | 166 | 0 | | 1361200 | 1258944 | -102256 | IN | 5900 | 5833 | -67 | | | 166 | 166 | 0 | | 979400 | 968278 | -11122 | SD | 5300 | 5216 | -84 | | | 138 | 138 | 0 | | 731400 | 719808 | -11592 | KS | 4200 | 4159 | -41 | | | 116 | 116 | 0 | | 487200 | 482444 | -4756 | OH | 3680 | 3676 | -4 | | | 172 | 172 | 0 | | 632960 | 632272 | -688 | WI | 3250 | 2985 | -265 | | | 144 | 144 | 0 | | 468000 | 429840 | -38160 | ND | 3600 | 3101 | -499 | | | 116 | 116 | 0 | | 417600 | 359716 | -57884 | MO | 3250 | 3005 | -245 | | | 130 | 130 | 0 | | 422500 | 390650 | -31850 | MI | 2470 | 2452 | -18 | | | 158 | 158 | 0 | | 390260 | 387416 | -2844 | | | | | | | | | | | | total: | -396172 | Other | 14085 | 14085 | 0 | <<Forced to fit (real -746 ) | 154 | | | 2167001 | 2167001 | 36578 | | | | | in order to show decrease by state | | | | | | US | 89.135 | 86.47 | -2665 | | 156.5 | 154.4 | 155 | ?? | | 13762.44 | 13403 | -360 | | | | -3411 | actual on planted/intended | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13366.27 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2013/14 Corn | | | | | | | | | | 11236.15 | | Balance Sheet | USDA | JonSCKs | Change | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13403.15 | | Planted | | 97.4 | 94 | -3.41 | 3.41 | | | | | | | | Harvested | 89.1 | 86.47 | -2.63 | ?? | | | | | | | | Yield | | 154.47 | 155 | 0.53 | ?? | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Production | 13763 | 13403 | -360 | | | | | | | | | Imports | | 30 | 45 | 15 | | | | | | | | | Carry In | | 719 | 719 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total Supply | 14512 | 14167 | -345 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Feed | | 5100 | 4750 | -350 | Ray J | | | | | | | | FS&I | | 6350 | 6450 | 100 | | | | | | | | | Etoh | | 4900 | 4975 | 75 | | | | | | | | | Exports | | 1225 | 1425 | 200 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total Useage | 12675 | 12625 | -50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Carry Out | | 1837 | 1542 | -295 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Avg Price | | $4.90 | $5.45 | $0.55 | | | | | | | | | $$/acre | | $756.90 | $844.75 | $87.85 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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