Before someone calls me on it, I need to also state that there is potential to do better than market average. I did not mean to imply that a person had no chance.

If 10% of the sellers are better marketers (better information, does charts well, smarter, better gut, whatever) and 10% of the buyers are better marketers that still leaves the remaining 80% that can subsidize their profitability by some of them doing worse than average, That is how averages are made.

So we all try to do the best we can.

All I am saying is that a person needs to realize if something is so obvious why is it not also just as obvious to the other side of the trade?

In other words, be wary of thinking something is really obvious. If it is, the market would have already adjusted to it. Because there is a buyer for every seller. If something is obvious to one, why would it not be just as obvious to the other?

John