Correct..
first off repeating...
So how did they do on Soybeans.. 12/9/15 WASDE
Production from Brazil was projected as 100 mmt's
on Last months results..
Production from Brazil was 96.5 mmt's.. so better.. but still a 3.5 mmt miss.
So I agree that it's more about corn.. afterall the majority of the Safrina corn crop is south of Matto Grosso in Southern Brazil.. and northern Argentina.. where.. it.. is.. raining.
"whoopsie."
Now as US Corn prices respond.. what will US Soybean growers do?
cut beans more cotton.. cut beans more Spring Wheat cut beans more Corn..
and this BS Huge surge of 2017 Soybean acres goes "poof." UNLESS.. enough guys are convinced that they would rather try their luck with beaners vs Corn in a possible 2012 type drought..
NOT SAYING it's gonna happen just.. 10 years.. 6 good.. 3 bad.. i eh..
2010 good 2011 bad 2012 bad 2013 good 2014 good 2015 good 2016 good
so so far we've seen 2 of the 3 bad and 5 of the 6 good.. what comes for..
2017 2018 2019
cause one of em is gonna get the BAD one... which one?
from a PURELY STATISTICAL perspective..
"later." |