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Explaining exponential growth
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Deaner
Posted 4/6/2020 23:14 (#8170729 - in reply to #8167783)
Subject: RE: Explaining exponential growth


Northern Ohio
agfarms - 4/5/2020 20:14

indeeppigfarmer - 4/5/2020 18:53

Looks like New York has crept up to about 10%



Yea I agree. Except that isn't all the cases. It can't be. So go back 3 weeks and how many have had or have it that don't get tested.

My Wag and it's a wag is that cases in many areas are 10x reported. NYC prob would be the place they would catch a higher percentage.

Now no one get me wrong this isn't JUST the flu or anything.... But.... It's not Sars 1 either.



If your wag is near correct, which it very well could be, then nearly half of NYC has been infected. That would be good news. With social distancing, future cases should go down to a trickle very soon. The rest of the country will fallow, just a few weeks behind.
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