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Because of COVID, how many more people do you think will have died by the time 18 months have passed
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dpilot83
Posted 9/15/2020 10:03 (#8496839 - in reply to #8496829)
Subject: RE: Because of COVID, how many more people do you think will have died by the time 18 months have pa



Without looking numbers up I would say for the time period since coronavirus started, the USA mortality rate has had between a 17 and 21% increase. I believe around 4% of that is caused by the reaction to the virus rather than the virus itself so I think the real number is around 13 to 17%.

I believe over the next year it is likely that our all-cause deaths will be below normal because many of the more susceptible people who would have died in the next year passed from coronavirus. So I expect that 13-17% increase to start getting heavily offset by a lower than normal all-cause deaths period.
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