Fundamentals always take longer to play out than one thinks.  There is so much to play out for this crop alone, not to mention the next 10 years.  Plus usda will soften the news wherever possible.  How many moves has it been now? 

Again, some wise advice for you from my dear departed father:  "The market will give you a couple opportunities for every crop year to sell for a profit.  Take advantage of them."  He farmed and marketed for 60 years.  No market goes down for 10 years, that is utter nonsense.

So if you want to wake up in the morning and never believe you can make a profit for the next decade?  Go ahead.  Or is it your's or Centurys's intention to scare people for short positions in the market?  Just asking?

Meanwhile I just keep selling when there is a profit.   In fact I might have too much forward sold, that I can't grow it all...