| The Ethanol blend rate has slipped this week to 9.3% which is LOWER than Last year's 9.46% Suspect that the WAIVERS are having an ADVERSE IMPACT upon the Domestic Blend Rate.. Edit add: although the ramp up to the summer driving season is choppy right now.. bumping the numbers around a bit.
Ethanol production fell again this week. Implied Ethanol Exports remain strong up a healthy clip vs Last year which is what is absorbing the increased production.
| | | | | | | | | | Computed | | | | | | | | | | | | Weekly Production | | | | | | | number to balance | Computed | Actual | Total | Weekly bu | | Weekly US | | Week | | Blenders Input | Imports | Stocks | Capacity | Residual and exports | Exports | Exports | Ethanol | Grind | Monthly | Year | Supplied Finished | | | Ethanol k bbls/day | k bbls /day | k bbls /day | k bbls | k bbls | | k bbls /day | k bbls | Monthly | EIA | demand | | | myn bu | Motor Gasoline | | | | | | | | | | 37,936 | | | | | | | | 2.85 | conversion | | Ethanol as % of | 9/1/2017 | 1060 | | 923 | | 0 | | 21,116 | 56% | | 163.7 | | 1146 | | | 1086.7 | 109,347 | | | 9163 | 10.07% | | 9/8/2017 | 1047 | | 901 | | 36 | | 21,132 | 56% | | 179.7 | | 1258 | | | 1080.7 | 108,006 | | | 9619 | 9.37% | | 9/15/2017 | 1033 | | 898 | | 0 | | 21,138 | 56% | | 134.1 | | 939 | | | 1032.1 | 106,562 | | | 9441 | 9.51% | | 9/22/2017 | 996 | | 917 | | 0 | | 20,740 | 55% | | 135.9 | | 951 | | | 1052.9 | 102,745 | | | 9522 | 9.63% | | 9/29/2017 | 1010 | | 930 | | 0 | | 21,545 | 57% | | -35.0 | | -245 | 4049 | 2,063 | 895.0 | 104,189 | | | 9241 | 10.06% | | 10/6/2017 | 967 | | 937 | | 0 | | 21,523 | 57% | | 33.1 | | 232 | | | 970.1 | 99,754 | | | 9480 | 9.88% | | 10/13/2017 | 1019 | | 922 | | 0 | | 21,480 | 57% | | 103.1 | | 722 | | | 1025.1 | 105,118 | | | 9136 | 10.09% | | 10/20/2017 | 1039 | | 925 | | 0 | | 21,034 | 55% | | 177.7 | | 1244 | | | 1102.7 | 107,181 | | | 9314 | 9.93% | | 10/27/2017 | 1056 | | 930 | | 0 | | 21,474 | 57% | | 63.1 | | 442 | 2640 | 2,231 | 993.1 | 108,935 | | | 9461 | 9.83% | | 11/3/2017 | 1057 | | 918 | | 35 | | 21,345 | 56% | | 192.4 | | 1347 | | | 1110.4 | 109,038 | | | 9496 | 9.67% | | 11/10/2017 | 1054 | | 918 | | 0 | | 21,497 | 57% | | 114.3 | | 800 | | | 1032.3 | 108,728 | | | 9172 | 10.01% | | 11/17/2017 | 1074 | | 920 | | 0 | | 21,897 | 58% | | 96.9 | | 678 | | | 1016.9 | 110,792 | | | 9595 | 9.59% | | 11/24/2017 | 1066 | | 922 | | 0 | | 22,044 | 58% | | 123.0 | | 861 | 3686 | 2648 | 1045.0 | 109,966 | | | 8724 | 10.57% | | 12/1/2017 | 1108 | | 885 | | 36 | | 22,544 | 59% | | 187.6 | | 1313 | | | 1072.6 | 114,299 | | | 8895 | 9.95% | | 12/8/2017 | 1089 | | 916 | | 0 | | 22,374 | 59% | | 197.3 | | 1381 | | | 1113.3 | 112,339 | | | 9091 | 10.08% | | 12/15/2017 | 1077 | | 914 | | 0 | | 22,320 | 59% | | 170.7 | | 1195 | | | 1084.7 | 111,101 | | | 9426 | 9.70% | | 12/22/2017 | 1090 | | 946 | | 0 | | 22,031 | 58% | | 185.3 | | 1297 | | | 1131.3 | 112,442 | | | 9485 | 9.97% | | 12/29/2017 | 1032 | | 855 | | 0 | | 22,619 | 60% | | 93.0 | | 651 | 5837 | 4130 | 948.0 | 106,459 | | | 8650 | 9.88% | | 1/5/2018 | 996 | | 795 | | 0 | | 22,719 | 60% | | 186.7 | | 1307 | | | 981.7 | 102,745 | | | 8814 | 9.02% | | 1/12/2018 | 1061 | | 856 | | 0 | | 22,743 | 60% | | 201.6 | | 1411 | | | 1057.6 | 109,451 | | | 8668 | 9.88% | | 1/19/2018 | 1062 | | 826 | | 0 | | 23,800 | 63% | | 85.0 | | 595 | | | 911.0 | 109,554 | | | 8697 | 9.50% | | 1/26/2018 | 1040 | | 858 | | 0 | | 23,045 | 61% | | 289.9 | | 2029 | 5342 | 2104 | 1147.9 | 107,284 | | | 9044 | 9.49% | | 2/2/2018 | 1057 | | 868 | | 0 | | 23,489 | 62% | | 125.6 | | 879 | | | 993.6 | 109,038 | | | 9110 | 9.53% | | 2/9/2018 | 1016 | | 882 | | 0 | | 22,885 | 60% | | 220.3 | | 1542 | | | 1102.3 | 104,808 | | | 9059 | 9.74% | | 2/16/2018 | 1068 | | 885 | | 0 | | 22,753 | 60% | | 201.9 | | 1413 | | | 1086.9 | 110,173 | | | 9002 | 9.83% | | 2/23/2018 | 1044 | | 876 | | 0 | | 22,979 | 61% | | 135.7 | | 950 | 4784 | | 1011.7 | 107,697 | | | 8860 | 9.89% | | 3/2/2018 | 1052 | | 894 | | 0 | | 23,144 | 61% | | 134.4 | | 941 | | | 1028.4 | 108,522 | | | 9276 | 9.64% | | 3/9/2018 | 1025 | | 910 | | 0 | | 24,281 | 64% | | -47.4 | | -332 | | | 862.6 | 105,737 | | | 9642 | 9.44% | | 3/16/2018 | 1049 | | 916 | | 0 | | 23,758 | 63% | | 207.7 | | 1454 | | | 1123.7 | 108,213 | | | 9324 | 9.82% | | 3/23/2018 | 1039 | | 900 | | 0 | | 22,790 | 60% | | 277.3 | | 1941 | | | 1177.3 | 107,181 | | | 9208 | 9.77% | | 3/30/2018 | 1038 | | 903 | | 0 | | 22,425 | 59% | | 187.1 | | 1310 | 5314 | | 1090.1 | 107,078 | | | 9203 | 9.81% | | 4/6/2018 | 1034 | | 904 | | 0 | | 21,846 | 58% | | 212.7 | | 1489 | | | 1116.7 | 106,665 | | | 9273 | 9.75% | | 4/13/2018 | 1009 | | 917 | | 0 | | 21,344 | 56% | | 163.7 | | 1146 | | | 1080.7 | 104,086 | | | 9857 | 9.30% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17/18 MY 32 wks | 1044.4 | | 899.0 | | 3.2 | | 22238.0 | 59% | | 148.4 | | 1039.0 | 4521.7 | 2635.2 | 1047.4 | 107,734 | | | 9210.5 | 9.76% | | 16/17 MY 32 wks | 1020.7 | | 894.7 | | 0.0 | | 20762.8 | 55% | | 116.9 | | 818.1 | 3599.0 | 2686.5 | 1011.6 | 105,296 | | | 9030.8 | 9.91% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,438.3 | | | | | | 17/18 vs 16/17 | 2.3% | | 0.5% | | | | 23034.0 | yr ago | | 27.0% | | 27.0% | 25.6% | -1.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | | | 2.0% | -1.5% | |
Weekly production number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yop_nus_mbbld&f=w Weekly Blenders Input.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yir_nus_mbbld&f=w Weekly Imports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_IM0_NUS-Z00_MBBLD&f=W Weekly Stocks number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_SAE_NUS_MBBL&f=W Weekly US Product Supplied of Finished Motor Gasoline http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGFUPUS2&f=W Monthly US Exports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOOXE_EEX_NUS-Z00_MBBL&f=M Cheers.
Edited by JonSCKs 4/21/2018 13:07
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