AgTalk Home
AgTalk Home
Search Forums | Classifieds (30) | Skins | Language
You are logged in as a guest. ( logon | register )

Ethanol exports.. Another good week.
View previous thread :: View next thread
   Forums List -> Market TalkMessage format
 
JonSCKs
Posted 2/5/2014 13:52 (#3664913)
Subject: Ethanol exports.. Another good week.


Weekly Ethanol production was down this week at 895 vs the last update at 900 k bbls per day..

  2013-Sep09/06 848   09/13 838   09/20 832   09/27 875       
  2013-Oct10/04 868   10/11 869   10/18 897   10/25 911       
  2013-Nov11/01 902   11/08 927   11/15 904   11/22 927   11/29 913   
  2013-Dec12/06 944   12/13 928   12/20 926   12/27 913       
 
  2014-Jan01/03 919   01/10 868   01/17 905   01/24 900   01/31 895   

http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_YOP_NUS_MBBLD&f=W

Refiner and Blenders net input   (domestic demand) declined to 801 thousand barrels Per Day vs Last weeks  815.  Winter driving doldrums.. continue.. expect improvement in spring.

  2013-Sep09/06 834   09/13 842   09/20 852   09/27 846       
  2013-Oct10/04 868   10/11 857   10/18 851   10/25 870       
  2013-Nov11/01 859   11/08 874   11/15 853   11/22 837   11/29 837   
  2013-Dec12/06 826   12/13 827   12/20 876   12/27 808       
 
  2014-Jan01/03 756   01/10 797   01/17 802   01/24 815   01/31 801   

http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yir_nus_mbbld&f=w

So the stocks..  we got a draw here at 16,739 thousand barrels vs 16,932 last week.

  2013-Sep09/06 16,269   09/13 16,178   09/20 15,613   09/27 15,509       
  2013-Oct10/04 15,390   10/11 15,419   10/18 15,499   10/25 14,961       
  2013-Nov11/01 15,165   11/08 15,153   11/15 15,083   11/22 15,022   11/29 15,124   
  2013-Dec12/06 15,448   12/13 15,625   12/20 15,660   12/27 15,582       
 
  2014-Jan01/03 16,138   01/10 16,078   01/17 17,018   01/24 16,932   01/31 16,739   

http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_SAE_NUS_MBBL&f=W

So 895 - 801 = 94 with a stocks reduction of (16,932 -16,739  / 7 =) 27.6 = 121.6 thousand barrels per day that went towards exports  vs  127 last week.

Another very good week on the exports!!

801 domestic + 121.6 = 922.6 disappearance vs last week's 924 is still pretty good and above the 907'ish number USDA is using.  This was another good report!!

stocks target of 20,000 by summer driving season - 16,739 = 3,261 / 67 days = 48.7 needed per week.. 6.95 per day to get back on track..  still need to step it up on the production side.


fwiw.. "Cheers."

Top of the page Bottom of the page


Jump to forum :
Search this forum
Printer friendly version
E-mail a link to this thread

(Delete cookies)