Posted 10/13/2021 15:58 (#9267077 - in reply to #9266957) Subject: RE: False precision?
I will agree with that. Modern 3-day forecasts are very good. The 7- to 10-day forecasts are decent for the overall trend -- cooler next week with a likely rain event, etc. But beyond that -- say a 30-day forecast -- about all you can predict is a 60% chance of dryer-than-normal. A daily forecast thirty days out? I don't think so. It isn't possible now -- and may never be, given weather's internal randomness.