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If the arithmetic is correct...
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Oliver1
Posted 7/1/2015 23:15 (#4657087 - in reply to #4656053)
Subject: RE: Yes and wasn't there a few stateing



Alton, Ia
1586 - 7/1/2015 11:21

Kooiker - 7/1/2015 10:49

1586 - 7/1/2015 08:57

 Most large operations should be hedged thru the first of the year on feed. If not they were staring a gift horse in the mouth. I sure would have been locking in feed the past few weeks with what was going on. Kind of like a normal year with a good rain on the first of July and corn is still $7 and you are waiting for $8.






I assume you were hedged out many years with $7+ corn and $15 beans......



Its easier to say in hindsight than to do in real time.....






 



Livestock is much more predictable than grain farming. I will never ever say easier. My yields have varied 100 bu in 3 years and acres by 655. Much harder to sell a crop to the "T" vs. hedging feed for a feedlot or finish operation. Shame on any end user that complains in the next 6-months. Maybe they should have been reading NAT?


The last 20 year historical trend has been a $.60 decrease from June 1 to Oct 1. That's a pretty strong train to lay down in front of.
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