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Ethanol production rebounds this week.
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JonSCKs
Posted 2/13/2019 17:11 (#7318660 - in reply to #7318089)
Subject: Weekly Ethanol update.. Implied Exports are good.


Ethanol production rebounded this week after Last week's weather and maintenance related slow down.  Since stocks fell 481 k bbls.. and domestic blended came in at 873 k bbls.. into 8,648 k bbls = blend rate of 10.09% and the cumulative year rate of 9.94% up 1.5%.. Thus Implied disappearance (or in transport) suspected to be exports of 1,573 k bbls was a pretty good week.

Putting total disappearance at 1,097.7 k bbls.. bringing the year to date total average at 1,034.7 k bbls.. down just a bit 0.6%.. "frustrating" as noted above by the RFA!!

More work remains to continue to build these markets.. STAY INVOLVED!!

          Computed          
 Weekly Production      number to balanceComputedActualTotal Weekly bu  Weekly US  
Week Blenders InputImportsStocksCapacityResidual and exportsExportsExportsEthanolGrindMonthlyYearSupplied Finished 
 Ethanol k bbls/dayk bbls /dayk bbls /day k bbls k bbls k bbls /dayk bblsMonthlyEIAdemand  myn buMotor Gasoline 
        37,936       2.85conversion Ethanol as % of
                      
9/7/20181020 918 0 22,89460% 74.7 523  992.7105,221  96499.51% 
9/14/20181051 928 0 22,74660% 144.1 1009  1072.1108,419  95349.73% 
9/21/20181036 901 0 22,62960% 151.7 1062  1052.7106,872  898710.03% 
9/28/20181015 917 0 23,44562% -18.6 -13024642141898.4104,705  910210.07% 
10/5/20181040 913 71 24,02163% 115.7 810  1028.7107,284  907810.06% 
10/12/20181011 933 0 24,13064% 62.4 437  995.4104,293  918210.16% 
10/19/20181024 940 15 23,89763% 132.3 926  1072.3105,634  932410.08% 
10/26/20181059 936 0 22,74660% 287.4 2012418541781223.4109,244  926210.11% 
11/2/20181068 917 0 23,15061% 93.3 653  1010.3110,173  909910.08% 
11/9/20181067 926 37 23,51462% 126.0 882  1052.0110,069  919210.07% 
11/16/20181042 928 0 22,79160% 217.3 1521  1145.3107,491  918510.10% 
11/23/20181048 924 0 22,93060% 104.1 729  1028.1108,109  918810.06% 
11/30/20181069 896 0 23,03061% 158.7 1111489640431054.7110,276  887710.09% 
12/7/20181046 910 0 22,89060% 156.0 1092  1066.0107,903  903610.07% 
12/14/20181046 924 0 23,87363% -18.4 -129  905.6107,903  924310.00% 
12/21/20181042 935 0 23,13361% 212.7 1489  1147.7107,491  934810.00% 
12/28/20181011 868 0 23,16261% 138.9 9723424 1006.9104,293  862310.07% 
1/4/20191000 815 0 23,25461% 171.9 1203  986.9103,158  87359.33% 
1/11/20191051 862 0 23,35162% 175.1 1226  1037.1108,419  856510.06% 
1/18/20191031 883 0 23,50162% 126.6 886  1009.6106,356  88689.96% 
1/25/20191012 870 0 23,98063% 73.6 5153830 943.6104,396  95649.10% 
2/1/2019967 887 0 23,94763% 84.7 593  971.799,754  90739.78% 
2/8/20191029 873 0 23,46662% 224.7 15732166 1097.7106,149  864810.09% 
                      
18/19 MY 23 wks1034.1 904.5 5.3 23325.261.5% 130.2 911.53494.23454.01034.7106,679  9102.79.94% 
17/18 MY 24 wks1046.1 917.6 4.5 22022.358.1% 142.7 999.04310.82668.61041.1107,912  9179.39.79% 
                -1,233.0     
18/19 vs 17/18-1.1% -1.4% 20.0% 5.9%  -8.8% -8.8%-18.9%29.4%-0.6%-1.1%  -0.8%1.5% 

Weekly production number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yop_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Blenders Input.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yir_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Imports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_IM0_NUS-Z00_MBBLD&f=W

Weekly Stocks number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_SAE_NUS_MBBL&f=W

Weekly US Product Supplied of Finished Motor Gasoline http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGFUPUS2&f=W

Monthly US Exports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOOXE_EEX_NUS-Z00_MBBL&f=M

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