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Corn numbers.. 200 myn too high.
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JonSCKs
Posted 1/15/2014 17:55 (#3606335 - in reply to #3606198)
Subject: adding the other feed grains..


Adding the other feed grains changes it a little but not much..

13/14's F&R usage for Q1 matches the record in 07/08 at 66 mmt's..  Still that seems odd when we will not use as much grain in the ration this year..141 mmt's this year vs 156 mmt's in 07/08. 

Note that the ethanol grind has increased from 118 mmt's  in 07/08 to a projected 169 mmt's this year so DDG's as a feed which are not included in this table (don't see any reference..) hmm.. ??

 

Table 3--Feed grains (corn, sorghum, barley, and oats): Supply and disappearance (million metric tons)
Mkt year and qtr 1/SupplyDisappearance 
 Domestic use  
Beginning stocksProductionImportsTotal supply 2/Food, alcohol, and industrial useSeed useFeed and residual useTotal domestic use 2/ExportsTotal disappearance 2/Ending stocks
2006/07Q1 Sep-Nov552800.5333522 59811697238
Q2 Dec-Feb238 0.72239220.0339621476163
Q3 Mar-May163 0.57164240.633055146895
Q4 Jun-Aug95 0.5896260.261945146036
MY Sep-Aug552802.40337950.911472425830136
            
2007/08Q1 Sep-Nov363500.5038626 669220113274
Q2 Dec-Feb274 0.97275280.0245721992183
Q3 Mar-May183 0.91184310.5628591676108
Q4 Jun-Aug108 0.89109320.281750146445
MY Sep-Aug363503.273891180.861562747034445
            
2008/09Q1 Sep-Nov453260.7637133 568913102270
Q2 Dec-Feb270 0.92271320.0241731083187
Q3 Mar-May187 0.69188330.5426591373115
Q4 Jun-Aug115 0.58116360.271854146947
MY Sep-Aug453262.953741340.831412765132747
            
2009/10Q1 Sep-Nov473490.6239637 569313106290
Q2 Dec-Feb290 0.50291390.0234731285206
Q3 Mar-May206 0.57207410.5733751590117
Q4 Jun-Aug117 0.52117410.221354156948
MY Sep-Aug473492.213981580.811372955535048
            
2010/11Q1 Sep-Nov483300.6337942 569812111268
Q2 Dec-Feb268 0.68269420.0241821193175
Q3 Mar-May175 0.63176430.5319621477100
Q4 Jun-Aug100 0.44100430.251255136832
MY Sep-Aug483302.383811690.801282985134832
            
2011/12Q1 Sep-Nov323240.4335643 499111102254
Q2 Dec-Feb254 0.79255430.0240831295160
Q3 Mar-May160 0.83161420.632366107685
Q4 Jun-Aug85 0.6785410.2394985728
MY Sep-Aug323242.723591690.881202904133128
            
2012/13Q1 Sep-Nov282861.5331539 57966102213
Q2 Dec-Feb213 1.81215380.022866571144
Q3 Mar-May144 1.59146410.59246657175
Q4 Jun-Aug75 1.5476410.2764855324
MY Sep-Aug282866.483201600.891152762129724
            
2013/14Q1 Sep-Nov243690.7139341 6610810118276
Q2 Dec-Feb     0.02     
MY Sep-Aug243693.073961690.911413104135144
            
1/ Corn and sorghum, September-August; barley and oats, June-May.  Latest data may be preliminary or projected.
2/ Total may not add due to rounding.
Source: USDA, World Agricultural Outlook Board, World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates and supporting materials.
Date run: 1/15/2014
             
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