Here is the updated numbers with the new WASDE estimates where they upped the soybean exports to 1495 and wheat exports to 1125. Oddly they left the corn exports alone.. lowered estimated Chinese Corn imports and raised the Chinese Corn crop. All exports could be front loaded.. as this weeks added sales really didn't add much. But it was the holidays and low sales are not uncommon. This is just a simple analysis.. which "could be wrong" fwiw. http://www.fas.usda.gov/export-sales/wkHistData.htm | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Soybeans | | | | | Corn | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total Shipments | | | | Total Shipments | | | | | | | | | 1989 | | 16.8 | | | | | | 58.7 | | | | | | | | | | | 1990 | | 15.2 | | | | | | 42.9 | | | | | | | | | | | 1991 | | 19 | | | | | | 39 | | | | | | | | | | | 1992 | | 21.5 | | | | | | 40.3 | | | | | | | | | | | 1993 | | 16.4 | | | | | | 32.2 | | | | | | | | | | | 1994 | | 23.4 | | | | | | 54.7 | | | | | | | | | | | 1995 | | 23.6 | | | | | | 55.8 | | | | | | All Wheat | | | | 1996 | | 24.5 | | | | | | 44.5 | | | | | | Total Shipments | | | 1997 | | 24.5 | | | | | | 37.2 | | | | | | | | | | | 1998 | | 22.9 | | | | | | 49.6 | | | | | | | | | | | 1999 | | 27 | | | | | | 48.8 | | | | | | 25.5 | | | | | 2000 | | 27.6 | | | | | | 47.7 | | | | | | 25.8 | | | | | 2001 | | 29.9 | | | | | | 48 | | | | | | 24.1 | | | | | 2002 | | 29.1 | | | | | | 39.9 | shipped | | | | 20.8 | | | | | 2003 | | 24.2 | | | 2-Jan | | | 48.2 | | sales | 2-Jan | | | 29.6 | | | 2-Jan | | 2004 | | 29.97 | | | Booked | | 45.4 | | | Booked | Add Ship | | 26.6 | | | Booked | 2005 | | 25.5 | shipped | | | | 54.3 | | | | | | 25.3 | shipped | | | 2006 | | 30.3 | | sales | | | | 54 | 18.9 | 11.5 | 30.4 | 23.6 | | 22.9 | | sales | | | 2007 | | 30.4 | | | | Add Ship | 59.97 | 21.97 | 18.5 | 40.47 | 19.5 | | 32.6 | | | | Add Ship | 2008 | | 33.9 | | | | | | 45.2 | 13.6 | 7.7 | 21.3 | 23.9 | | 26.0 | | | | | 2009 | | 39.6 | 19.7 | 12.5 | 32.2 | 7.4 | | 48.3 | 14.2 | 11.2 | 25.4 | 22.9 | | 21.7 | 12.4 | 3.7 | 16.1 | 5.6 | 2010 | | 39.99 | 22.1 | 13.7 | 35.8 | 4.19 | | 45.2 | 14.5 | 11.8 | 26.3 | 18.9 | | 33.4 | 17.9 | 8.3 | 26.2 | 7.2 | 2011 | | 36.7 | 15.9 | 8.7 | 24.6 | 12.1 | | 37.9 | 13.8 | 10.9 | 24.7 | 13.2 | | 26.6 | 15.7 | 4.3 | 20.0 | 6.6 | 2012 | | 36.2 | 22.2 | 8.9 | 31.1 | 5.1 | | 18 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 12.8 | 5.2 | | 26.3 | 13.6 | 5.7 | 19.3 | 7.0 | 2013 | | | 25.1 | 15.7 | 40.8 | | | | 11.9 | 16.7 | 28.6 | | | | 19.4 | 5.1 | 24.5 | | | | | | | | 7.1975 | | | | | | 21.4 | | | | | | 6.6 | | | | | | 47.9975 | | | | | | 50.0 | | | | | | 31.10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | projected | | 1763.11 | | projected | | 1969.54 | | projected | | 1142.41 | | | pace | | | | | pace | | | | | pace | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | USDA | | 40.7 | | | 1495 | USDA | | 36.84 | | | 1450 | | USDA | 30.6 | | | 1125 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Difference | | 268 | myn bu | | | | | 520 | myn bu | | | | | 17 | myn bu | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/26/2013 | | | | | 303 | | | | | | 526 | | | | | | 49 | | 12/19/2013 | | | | | 292 | | | | | | 555 | | | | | | 55 | | 12/12/2013 | | | | | 272 | | | | | | 531 | | | | | | 52 | | 12/5/2013 | | | | | 297 | | | | | | 523 | | | | | | 53 | | 11/28/2013 | | | | | 273 | | | | | | 508 | | | | | | 47 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |