West Central MN (between MMF and Larson's) | So many variables. Went on a plane ride today to scout some hail damage. Certainly more variability visible from air, whether human induced (compaction, fert streaks, ect) or the drown outs that people can't see from the road. This year we have about 2 kernel rows more on average than last year. However last year we had a tremendously long grain fill period that resulted in only 70-75,000 kernals needed to make a bu. versus the old stand by 90. Not convinced that it may swing to more than 90,000 needed this year with how far behind on GDU's we are.
To me still too early to have decent projections. Pleasantly surprised with the kernel set so far, however if we don't get some rain in the next 7-10 days lots of kernel abortions will occur. Especially if we get above 80 for more than a couple days. We'll all be smarter in a couple weeks. |
Yield estimates
