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JonSCKs
Posted 1/5/2017 09:23 (#5745838 - in reply to #5745594)
Subject: Why are we getting negative residuals in Sorghum?


Looking at the yearly Feedgrains tables from USDA and noticed this..  ( https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/feed-grains-database/feed-grains-yearbook-tables/#U.S. Supply and Disappearance )

WHY are we getting NEGATIVE residuals in Sorghum here the past couple of years?  

"Cattle Fed Sorghum are belching it back out and we're using it for exports..??"  well that's kind of what it's saying..
hmmm.. or the quant exports.. Texas 2015 Crop comes in July and August of the 14/15 year.. the 2014 crop.. ??  okay could be that then...??

Anyone else got anything..???

WOW look at the ethanol grind for sorghum.. that 141 is THE RECORD for the Crop last year.. this year's number "ain't too shabby" either..

Table 5--Sorghum: Supply and disappearance (million bushels)
             
Mkt year and qtr 1/SupplyDisappearance 
 Domestic use  
Beginning stocksProductionImportsTotal supply 2/Food, alcohol, and industrial useSeed useFeed and residual useTotal domestic use 2/ExportsTotal disappearance 2/Ending stocks
2012/13Q1 Sep-Nov232481.0927225 8010527132140
Q2 Dec-Feb140 0.0614025 429194892
Q3 Mar-May92 5.5297250.521642145641
Q4 Jun-Aug41 2.9144190.47-713162915
MY Sep-Aug232489.57280940.99931897626515
            
2013/14Q1 Sep-Nov153920.0140745 9814333176231
Q2 Dec-Feb231 0.0123110 7173956176
Q3 Mar-May176 0.01176110.53012718392
Q4 Jun-Aug92 0.079230.35-12-9675834
MY Sep-Aug153920.09408690.889316321137434
            
2014/15Q1 Sep-Nov344330.2146711 15016184244223
Q2 Dec-Feb223 0.122232 2499103120
Q3 Mar-May120 0.0012010.49-15-14998634
Q4 Jun-Aug34 0.043410.55-56-54701618
MY Sep-Aug344330.38467141.04829735244918
            
2015/16Q1 Sep-Nov185973.6061922 160182114297322
Q2 Dec-Feb322 0.9832347 -113686122201
Q3 Mar-May201 0.01201420.38-5377311190
Q4 Jun-Aug90 0.0190290.49-40-11645437
MY Sep-Aug185974.596201410.8810324533958337
            
2016/17MY Sep-Aug374621.005001240.899021525046535
            
1/ September-August.  Latest data may be preliminary or projected.
2/ Total may not add due to rounding.
Source: USDA, World Agricultural Outlook Board, World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates and supporting materials.
Date run: 12/12/2016


Edited by JonSCKs 1/5/2017 09:26
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