LOL!  The last time you took me task....I was wrong!!  Could be that way again.   My problem with thinking we go to much lower is, are we in an uptrend or a downtrend?  To me, it seems highly unlikely that we are going to continue the downtrend from 2008, and that we make new lows - which price would have to do. Instead, I think we will likely find buyers someplace and go higher, as this is all an energy rebuilding process from 2008.