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Prior to election sales, changed my mind.
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JonSCKs
Posted 10/31/2020 13:06 (#8577978 - in reply to #8577772)
Subject: Can Biden really win.. or is this a Iowa Caucasus all over again?


I guess yal in Iowa can answer this better than moi.. but how come Biden entered the Iowa Caucasus as the favorite.. but eventually came in fourth? Did they ever decide who finished what?

“Joe Biden entered the presidential race leading in Iowa. Later, he predicted he’d win the state as he rolled up local endorsements galore.

So Biden’s likely fourth-place finish in Iowa would normally put his campaign in ICU, especially when a former no-name mayor of a small town in Indiana came in first and bested the former vice president along with four senators.“

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/04/joe-biden-iowa-results-2020...

If you judge the Presidential race by the polls.. Biden should win... If you judge by attendance at rallies.. then it looks like Trump.

Given the stakes.. no doubt someone will be surprised.. and therefore markets will be affected.

A lot of my liberal business pundits are pretty confident... similarly as they were in 2016..

I’m not so sure.. probably Biden’s to lose.. just like the Iowa Caucasus..

And yet.. the results were shocking.

???
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