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latest update on covid 19 by Ivor Cummins
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Posted 9/9/2020 14:11 (#8485178 - in reply to #8484257)
Subject: RE: latest update on covid 19 by Ivor Cummins


As usual, a very good video.

To go along with this, i found these stats interesting:

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.06.20124446v2.full.p...

Results: Among US counties with populations greater than 500,000 people, during the
30 week ending June 13,2020, the median estimate of the county level probability of a
31 confirmed infection is 1 infection in 40,500 person contacts (Range: 10,100 to 586,000).
32 For a 50 to 64 year-old individual, the median estimate of the county level probability of
33 a hospitalization is 1 in 709,000 person contacts (Range: 177,000 to 10,200,000) and
34 the median estimate of the county level probability of a fatality is 1 in 6,670,000 person
35 contacts (Range 1,680,000 to 97,600.000).
36 Conclusions and Relevance: Estimates of the individual probabilities of COVID19
37 infection, hospitalization and death vary widely but may not align with public risk
38 perceptions.
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