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When is EPA going to Follow the Court's ruling and RE ALLOCATE the Illegally waived gallons?
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JonSCKs
Posted 7/10/2019 12:28 (#7606977 - in reply to #7606539)
Subject: Weekly Ethanol update.


The Domestic grind pulled back a bit.. not surprising given the negative margins to the tune of $0.50+ / gallon depending on the cost of the source stock.

And we imported a little ethanol this past week.. the Blend rate is BELOW the average.. thanks to the EPA above..  again WHEN are the ILLEGALLY WAIVED GALLONS going to be REISSUED?!?

.. but all in all we're hanging in there pretty tough.. even exported some if the numbers are correct.. a negative export is probably transported gallons showing back up in the system somewhere.. aka "stocks" at the destination.

These numbers are better than I feared.. but the industry is full on under assault thanks to Big Oil and their minons at the EPA.

FIX The RFS NOW!!

          Computed          
 Weekly Production      number to balanceComputedActualTotal Weekly bu  Weekly US  
Week Blenders InputImportsStocksCapacityResidual and exportsExportsExportsEthanolGrindMonthlyYearSupplied Finished 
 Ethanol k bbls/dayk bbls /dayk bbls /day k bbls k bbls k bbls /dayk bblsMonthlyEIAdemand  myn buMotor Gasoline 
        37,936       2.85conversion  Ethanol as % of
                      
9/7/20181020 918 0 22,89460% 74.7 523  992.7105,221  96499.51% 
9/14/20181051 928 0 22,74660% 144.1 1009  1072.1108,419  95349.73% 
9/21/20181036 901 0 22,62960% 151.7 1062  1052.7106,872  898710.03% 
9/28/20181015 917 0 23,44562% -18.6 -13024642141898.4104,705  910210.07% 
10/5/20181040 913 71 24,02163% 115.7 810  1028.7107,284  907810.06% 
10/12/20181011 933 0 24,13064% 62.4 437  995.4104,293  918210.16% 
10/19/20181024 940 15 23,89763% 132.3 926  1072.3105,634  932410.08% 
10/26/20181059 936 0 22,74660% 287.4 2012418541781223.4109,244  926210.11% 
11/2/20181068 917 0 23,15061% 93.3 653  1010.3110,173  909910.08% 
11/9/20181067 926 37 23,51462% 126.0 882  1052.0110,069  919210.07% 
11/16/20181042 928 0 22,79160% 217.3 1521  1145.3107,491  918510.10% 
11/23/20181048 924 0 22,93060% 104.1 729  1028.1108,109  918810.06% 
11/30/20181069 896 0 23,03061% 158.7 1111489636201054.7110,276  887710.09% 
12/7/20181046 910 0 22,89060% 156.0 1092  1066.0107,903  903610.07% 
12/14/20181046 924 0 23,87363% -18.4 -129  905.6107,903  924310.00% 
12/21/20181042 935 0 23,13361% 212.7 1489  1147.7107,491  934810.00% 
12/28/20181011 868 0 23,16261% 138.9 972342433301006.9104,293  862310.07% 
1/4/20191000 815 0 23,25461% 171.9 1203  986.9103,158  87359.33% 
1/11/20191051 862 0 23,35162% 175.1 1226  1037.1108,419  856510.06% 
1/18/20191031 883 0 23,50162% 126.6 886  1009.6106,356  88689.96% 
1/25/20191012 870 0 23,98063% 73.6 51538303048943.6104,396  95649.10% 
2/1/2019967 887 0 23,94763% 84.7 593  971.799,754  90739.78% 
2/8/20191029 873 0 23,46662% 224.7 1573  1097.7106,149  864810.09% 
2/15/2019996 887 0 23,91363% 45.1 316  932.1102,745  880010.08% 
2/22/20191028 882 0 23,70962% 175.1 1226370827151057.1106,046  89819.82% 
3/1/20191024 895 0 24,26164% 50.1 351  945.1105,634  90629.88% 
3/8/20191005 921 0 23,73163% 159.7 1118  1080.7103,674  914010.08% 
3/15/20191004 909 0 24,41264% -2.3 -16  906.7103,571  94099.66% 
3/22/2019975 920 0 24,44864% 49.9 349  969.9100,579  912410.08% 
3/29/2019999 909 0 23,99263% 155.1 1086288833351064.1103,055  91319.96% 
4/5/20191002 919 0 23,19361% 197.1 1380  1116.1103,364  98069.37% 
4/12/20191016 924 0 22,67660% 165.9 1161  1089.9104,808  94209.81% 
4/19/20191048 928 0 22,74760% 109.9 769  1037.9108,109  94099.86% 
4/26/20191024 928 0 22,69560% 103.4 724403435781031.4105,634  922810.06% 
5/3/20191036 919 0 22,46859% 149.4 1046  1068.4106,872  98719.31% 
5/10/20191051 953 0 22,25059% 129.1 904  1082.1108,419  914810.42% 
5/17/20191071 951 0 23,40462% -44.9 -314  906.1110,482  942910.09% 
5/24/20191057 948 0 22,62460% 220.4 1543  1168.4109,038  939410.09% 
5/31/20191044 931 0 22,55359% 123.1 8624041 1054.1107,697  94419.86% 
6/7/20191096 953 44 21,80257% 294.3 2060  1247.3113,061  98779.65% 
6/14/20191081 942 0 21,61357% 166.0 1162  1108.0111,514  99289.49% 
6/21/20191072 951 0 21,56757% 127.6 893  1078.6110,585  946610.05% 
6/28/20191081 947 0 22,84460% -48.4 -3393776 898.6111,514  94929.98% 
7/5/20191047 943 17 23,00961% 97.4 682  1040.4108,006  97549.67% 
                 Q2 grind    
18/19 MY 44 wks1035.0 915.1 4.2 23190.761.1% 123.1 862.03724.63243.11038.2106,773105,404 9242.59.91% 
17/18 MY 45 wks1044.0 908.0 2.4 22140.458.4% 134.9 944.34218.93323.21042.9107,697109,030 9285.89.78% 
                -923.7-3,626    

 

Weekly production number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yop_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Blenders Input.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yir_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Imports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_IM0_NUS-Z00_MBBLD&f=W

Weekly Stocks number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_SAE_NUS_MBBL&f=W

Weekly US Product Supplied of Finished Motor Gasoline http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGFUPUS2&f=W

Monthly US Exports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOOXE_EEX_NUS-Z00_MBBL&f=M



Edited by JonSCKs 7/10/2019 12:42
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