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Soybean Basis Wave.. as Harvest is delayed.
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JonSCKs
Posted 11/21/2018 07:50 (#7118962)
Subject: Soybean Basis Wave.. as Harvest is delayed.


There is quite a difference in Soybean basis from the river and processors in Missouri firming values to my east.  All bids are weaker than normal.. but the delayed harvest coupled with more Soybeans moving from the gulf.. and possibly the quality concerns are behind this (relatively speaking) "strength."

Is this "Blue Wave" moving West on this map..???


Baton Rouge La is $0.24 over
St Louis is $0.15 under
Deerfield Mo is $0.26 under
KC is $0.30 under
Catoosa Okla is $0.40 under
Canton Ks shuttle loader is $0.54 under
Wichita processor is $0.55 under
Ottawa Coop is $0.65 under

While several coops in Central Kansas are $0.70 under

Meanwhile on the other side of the line.. Local Elevators west of 281 are $1.30 or more under.. almost an $0.80 spread across a single county in some spots..


As of Monday's progress report Kansas and Missouri still had almost 100 myn bushels of Soybeans out in the fields.. mainly in the Blue (better) basis area's..


HarvestedNot Harvested Bu in Field
       
Missouri 5,730,00023%1,317,90046  60,623,400
Kansas 4,810,00019%913,90042  38,383,800
Ohio 4,940,00012%592,80059  34,975,200
Illinois 10,850,0004%434,00064  27,776,000
Arkansas 3,570,00017%606,90050  30,345,000
Iowa 9,840,0003%295,20058  17,121,600
Indiana 6,180,0007%432,60060  25,956,000
Kentucky 2,090,00025%522,50054  28,215,000
North Carolina1,590,00042%667,80035  23,373,000
Tennessee 1,720,00026%447,20048  21,465,600
Michigan 2,290,00017%389,30048  18,686,400
North Dakota 6,550,0007%458,50036  16,506,000
Wisconsin 2,290,0009%206,10049  10,098,900
Nebraska 5,450,0003%163,50049  8,011,500
Minnesota 7,740,0002%154,80050  7,740,000
South Dakota 5,660,0002%113,20049  5,546,800
Mississippi 2,180,0005%109,00053  5,777,000
Louisiana 1,370,0003%41,10050  2,055,000
       
Total 84,850,0009%7,636,50052.1  397,861,65

Hmm.. how much of this crop will get harvested?

How much gets abandoned?



Edited by JonSCKs 11/21/2018 07:52
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