Looking here..

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

page 23

It says were were in a pretty big La Nina.. -1.9.. one of the bigger readings.. 73/74 was a -2.0.. then 88/89..

My contact says not to OVERWEIGHT the ENSO cycle (La/El) and to keep in mind that it might only be.. say 5% influence (if that..??) and that OTHER THINGS (some we know.. some we don't) like the PDO/AMO cycle.. (switched around 2006.. "not good" for the next couple of decades..) and about 20 myn other things.. influence weather..

so..  ???

The PDO/AMO cycle says that peak "good weather" occurred in 1980's and 1990's.. and "probably" will not return for another couple of decades.. fwiw..

I'll still probably plant some corn this year though.. but not as much as last year.  Gonna look at some Sorghum though..

fwiw.

 We've used our allotment of record yields for the next 5 years!

He very DEFINETELY can NOT rule out a REPEAT of 2011 and 2012.. in fact.. "expect the new normal.."

although "things started to change" for the better as of last week (for us..) might get some precip here next week WHICH we DESPERATELY need..  HRW Wht on the Southern Plains is very tenuous.. at this point in time.. but.. "room for improvement.."  Maybe that's why the funds started shorting it..?

Thing is.. can it improve enough?  We got near record snowfalls Last year.. it's gonna TAKE that again to pull us out of the dive.. ENSO cycle might not change in time... ???

Which is his best guess at this time.. subject to change..  "come on baby.. PULL UP!!!"

we're both holding our breaths on this one...