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Spec Trade - Long 10 ZSN3
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ImTheBoss
Posted 10/24/2012 17:02 (#2658869)
Subject: Spec Trade - Long 10 ZSN3


SD/ND/FL
I got long 10 July '13 bean futures contracts today at an average price of around $14.60. My mental stop is $14.00.

My thought is that the commercials are going to stop/squeeze the July futures as deliverable stocks will (should) be minimal at that time. Furthermore, I feel SA logistics are going to be a global bottleneck and hamper their ability to feed the world this coming summer.

I'm sold out of '12 beans (avg of $15, got started "too low") and have 25% of my '13 crop priced at $13.80 Nov '13 futures so you could say that this is a re-ownership strategy or old/new spread but I'm thinking of it as a pure spec play. We'll see!!
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