does the stress now provide a short selling opportunity for those that are not going to have much for crops?
selling with the idea that you are covered on crop insurance.........and only selling up to that gtd level.............maybe not doing it today but sometime soon when one feels we hit near the top
maybe buying a 10.00 call or so to protect against the 200% rule
i am not super familiar with crop insurance...........so just asking the question
but as i see it say some one has 150 bu APH with 75% coverage at 5.68 base price................what happens now if you short sell board?
wouldn't you have about 639 GTD...........then with today's prices at 7.00 your GTD has moved up to 787
so at some point does it make sense to take a shot a short sale if you your yield is going to be under your coverage times your APH? |