Posted 8/15/2021 16:52 (#9165639 - in reply to #9164856) Subject: Farmers surveys tell a different story
The August reports now rely 95ish percent on info from farmers est of their crops and uses avg weather going forward. If one breaks the states into 3rds the bottom 1/3 has a yield 141bpa the middle has a yield of 187pba another top has 201 bpa.
We will see if this crop can fall apart fast enough for your numbers to be on the mark