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W1891 it's worse than 2012 nationally
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neukm
Posted 6/20/2021 10:06 (#9068235 - in reply to #9067802)
Subject: RE: W1891 it's worse than 2012 nationally


EC IL
w1891 - 6/20/2021 00:19

That 2012 weather looks very similar to the current 8-14 day outlook not?

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

Edit: Dryness is bad, but areas can get spotty rain and there can be areas that benefit from good rains even in a drought. No one benefits from high heat.



Okay... so, you guys in S/SE IL were in the bullseye in 2012, and had a widespread amount of corn that yielded near zero, if I'm not mistaken. However, the white/timber soils of southern Illinois are essentially a "fringe" area of the corn belt, whether that's offensive or not, it's the truth. You are trying to extrapolate your 2012 experience to the guys in Northern Iowa, Southern Minnesota, eastern South Dakota, which just isn't realistic. BUT, if they were to have comparable yields to what your area experienced in 2012, the impact to the national average would be far greater.

Now, is that likely to happen, no not at all. From the pictures posted, they still have near 100% potential. BUT, they are rightfully concerned with the current moisture situation and sparse rain in the forecasts.

Also, in a moisture deficit situation, plants can easily overheat on an average temperature sunny day because there is insufficient moisture to cool the plant through transpiration.




Edited by neukm 6/20/2021 10:09
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