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S Illinois | No actual field measurements made for the July report so no change in yield on this upcoming report. July weather is the biggest factor in their models. The Aug report will have the first field observations and model change.
From USDA:
"The yield projection is based on a weather-adjusted trend assuming normal mid-May planting progress and summer growing season weather, estimated using the 1988-2017 time period, and includes a downward stochastic adjustment to account for the asymmetric response of yield to July precipitation." | |
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