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emtbd1979

Posted 1/28/2016 22:04 (#5071388 - in reply to #5071312)
Subject: RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower

west central illinois

steelguitar - 1/28/2016 20:42

Clay SEIA - 1/28/2016 21:04

steelguitar - 1/28/2016 20:04

Norstman - 1/28/2016 19:38

steelguitar - 1/28/2016 18:12

frytownfarmer - 1/28/2016 18:07 Clay said it best: don't sell when price is in the $hitter, So what's the opposite of that? A good idea to make plans now of selling points... Me? 4.65!

So you aren't selling any new crop corn until $4.65? I cant wait that long, will be letting some go pretty soon.

What's the hurry?

I'm young with a tight cash flow. If corn is $2.50 in the fall and I need cash I will be in trouble. Can get $3.65 today cash out of the field and that level or a little higher works pretty good for me.

Ever grow a crop that was half of your APH? I sorta doubt it, or you wouldn't be so confident that $3.65 does the trick.

I don't know what yields will be, no one does. Crop insurance helps me feel comfortable selling forward, plus I don't push it very far.

I guess I'm struggling to see the message behind your post.

when you're short it has to be made up somehow for over selling. What good is crop insurance if your paying off contracts? It happened here a lot in 2012 and this year. The cash you would have had is gone to settle your obligation. But it also depends on the carry if you can roll said contracts. Or what the price is at the time of the delivery of contracts if you can get out of them. It's not a rosey situation to be in regardless.

Edited by emtbd1979 1/28/2016 22:05

For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Maizeing : 1/28/2016 17:54
- RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - frytownfarmer : 1/28/2016 18:07
  - RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - steelguitar : 1/28/2016 18:12
    - RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - northmofarm : 1/28/2016 18:38
    - RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Norstman : 1/28/2016 19:38
      - RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - steelguitar : 1/28/2016 20:04
        
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Norstman : 1/28/2016 20:52
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Clay SEIA : 1/28/2016 21:04
        
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Norstman : 1/28/2016 21:20
        
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Maizeing : 1/28/2016 21:31
        
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Norstman : 1/28/2016 21:43
        
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Maizeing : 1/28/2016 21:53
        
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Norstman : 1/28/2016 22:04
        
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Clay SEIA : 1/28/2016 21:53
        
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Maizeing : 1/28/2016 21:58
        
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - 4 row cattle : 1/28/2016 21:53
        
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - 1586 : 1/28/2016 21:36
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - steelguitar : 1/28/2016 21:42
        
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Clay SEIA : 1/28/2016 22:02
        RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - emtbd1979 : 1/28/2016 22:04
    - RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Maizeing : 1/28/2016 20:26
  - RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Clay SEIA : 1/28/2016 20:40
- RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Hiline : 1/28/2016 19:04
- RE: For every analyst that says prices are going higher, there is one that says it is going lower - Indrtfmr : 1/28/2016 23:12

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