| updated the numbers today.. cut the table down to save bandwidth. It was again a pretty strong week on the grind. The third largest ever on the grind up 3.5% Crop year to date vs last year. The domestic blend is up 2.2% year to date. The computed exports are still a little nebulous.. For whatever reason the reported number runs about 72% of the computed number to balance the table. This puts us on pace to hit around 847 myn gallons.. but we are gaining here at the end. The Stocks number that jumps around quite a bit will play with that. I thunked that last week the 1.008 myn number might have been an aberration.. but to come back close to it this week.. adds credibility. Given the margin pressure in the industry this is impressive. | | | | | | | | | | Computed | | | | | | | | | | | | Weekly Production | | | | | | | number to balance | Computed | Actual | Total | Weekly bu | | Weekly US | | Week | | Blenders Input | Imports | Stocks | Capacity | Residual and exports | Exports | Exports | Ethanol | Grind | Monthly | Year | Supplied Finished | | | Ethanol k bbls/day | k bbls /day | k bbls /day | k bbls | k bbls | | k bbls /day | k bbls | Monthly | EIA | demand | | | myn bu | Motor Gasoline | | | | | | | | | | 37,936 | | | | | | | | 2.78 | conversion | 5,005 | | Ethanol as % of |
9/4/2015 | 958 | | 896 | | 0 | | 18,642 | 49% | | 113.4 | | 794 | | | 1009.4 | 101,314 | | | 9017 | 9.94% | 9/11/2015 | 961 | | 878 | | 0 | | 18,291 | 48% | | 133.1 | | 932 | | | 1011.1 | 101,631 | | | 8983 | 9.77% | 9/18/2015 | 938 | | 892 | | 44 | | 18,900 | 50% | | 3.0 | | 21 | | | 895.0 | 99,199 | | | 9215 | 9.68% | 9/25/2015 | 943 | | 881 | | 0 | | 18,782 | 50% | | 78.9 | | 552 | 2,299 | 1,438 | 959.9 | 99,727 | | | 9021 | 9.77% | 10/2/2015 | 950 | | 882 | | 17 | | 18,812 | 50% | | 80.7 | | 565 | | | 962.7 | 100,468 | | | 8958 | 9.85% | 10/9/2015 | 949 | | 887 | | 0 | | 18,956 | 50% | | 41.4 | | 290 | | | 928.4 | 100,362 | | | 9137 | 9.71% | 10/16/2015 | 951 | | 897 | | 0 | | 18,872 | 50% | | 66.0 | | 462 | | | 963.0 | 100,573 | | | 9157 | 9.80% | 10/23/2015 | 944 | | 915 | | 0 | | 18,273 | 48% | | 114.6 | | 802 | | | 1029.6 | 99,833 | | | 9343 | 9.79% | 10/30/2015 | 969 | | 884 | | 10 | | 18,774 | 49% | | 23.4 | | 164 | 2,283 | | 907.4 | 102,477 | | | 9184 | 9.63% | 11/6/2015 | 982 | | 868 | | 26 | | 18,854 | 50% | | 128.6 | | 900 | | | 996.6 | 103,852 | | | 9388 | 9.25% | 11/13/2015 | 975 | | 870 | | 0 | | 19,249 | 51% | | 48.6 | | 340 | | | 918.6 | 103,112 | | | 9054 | 9.61% | 11/20/2015 | 1008 | | 885 | | 0 | | 19,627 | 52% | | 69.0 | | 483 | | | 954.0 | 106,601 | | | 8921 | 9.92% | 11/27/2015 | 956 | | 876 | | 36 | | 19,997 | 53% | | 63.1 | | 442 | 2,165 | | 939.1 | 101,102 | | | 9281 | 9.44% | 12/4/2015 | 993 | | 839 | | 0 | | 19,829 | 52% | | 178.0 | | 1246 | | | 1017.0 | 105,015 | | | 9420 | 8.91% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,855 | | | | | | | | 15 to date | 962.6 | | 882.1 | | 9.5 | | 18990 | | | 82 | | 571 | 2400 | ?? | 964 | 101,805 | | | 9128 | | 14 to date | 930.3 | | 863.1 | | 0.2 | | 17897 | | | 67 | | 467 | 2210 | 1805 | 930 | 98,383 | | | 8924 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3421.9 | | | | | 15 vs 14 | 3.5% | | 2.2% | | | | 6.1% | | | 22.4% | | 22.4% | 8.6% | ?? | 3.7% | 3.5% | | | 2.3% | | | | | 42953.0 | | | | Calendar Yr: | | 3948.1 | | 27637.0 | | 14908.0 | | | | | | | | | | 12628.2 | | | | | | | gallons: | | 1160.75 | 32,844 | 23,649 | 72.0% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 626.136 | | | | | | | 2015 avg | 958.2 | | 876.6 | | | | | | | | | | | 847.0 | pace | 101,333 | | | | | | 14.69 | | 13.44 | | | | | | | | | | | 0.847 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Weekly production number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yop_nus_mbbld&f=w Weekly Blenders Input.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yir_nus_mbbld&f=w Weekly Imports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_IM0_NUS-Z00_MBBLD&f=W Weekly Stocks number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_SAE_NUS_MBBL&f=W Weekly US Product Supplied of Finished Motor Gasoline http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGFUPUS2&f=W Monthly US Exports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOOXE_EEX_NUS-Z00_MBBL&f=M Cheers. |