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| Here is what I put together from Jeremy's link as a guess. Trying to be real.
Planted 96.2
Harvested 87.0
Yield 154
Beg. Stocks 600
Supply 13998
USDA use numbers
12850
Ending stocks
1148
I lowered 12/13 ending.
Feel that number is close if it's not we must realize 800mb is pipeline supply
Lowered harvested over average, feel abandonments will be high even on some planted acres.
The southern, central and eastern belt will carry this crop year no matter what. There will be big yields out of ILL, IND, OH and some southern states if the WX continues. Much as the NW belt carried us last year. Wish I had time to do a state by state prediction. | |
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My numbers game
