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I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield
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Palmtopper
Posted 6/29/2020 14:41 (#8343529 - in reply to #8343107)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield


SE Iowa
You need to know your cop.. that is the basis of mrk.

Mrk doest care but u should..
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Stormwatcher
Posted 6/29/2020 18:03 (#8343787 - in reply to #8343155)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield


WCMO-SWMO Area
turdypointbuck - 6/29/2020 09:57

I'm going to watch things burn up and drink beer.


The next 15 days look like mid 90's with no rain..That will sure toast the corn....Only had .75" of rain since May 26th.
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AGDEAL
Posted 6/29/2020 18:07 (#8343792 - in reply to #8343787)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield


Illinois
Stormwatcher - 6/29/2020 18:03

turdypointbuck - 6/29/2020 09:57

I'm going to watch things burn up and drink beer.


The next 15 days look like mid 90's with no rain..That will sure toast the corn....Only had .75" of rain since May 26th.



Bragger!
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McFarmer
Posted 6/29/2020 18:32 (#8343826 - in reply to #8342992)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield


Massey1155 - 6/29/2020 08:14

200 bu in my area is a crop failure.


I’m in NW Iowa also. I don’t know how long you have been farming but I’m thinking you haven’t seen a crop failure.

Maybe I’m wrong.
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IN555
Posted 6/29/2020 19:07 (#8343888 - in reply to #8343529)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield


NW Indiana
There is a huge difference between knowing your COP vs cost to produce a bushel. I never know cost per bushel until after harvest, it amazes me those that claim they do.
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fatan sassy
Posted 6/29/2020 19:47 (#8343960 - in reply to #8343529)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield


northern edge of north central Missouri
Ok. I did some math. I “need” 3.75 cash. Now what?
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Massey1155
Posted 6/29/2020 20:23 (#8344032 - in reply to #8343826)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield



NW Iowa
Started row crop in 2000, seen dry and wet, and yes 200 bu COC is a crop failure to me. In 2012 still did over 220 COB, if you want, come over i'll show you my aph. Started some COC 5 yrs ago, all COC 4 yrs, last yr of beans did 75bu with one field over 100bu. I'm not hard to find if you want to call my bluff.
4th gen farmer, you can't love it unless you live it.
NW IA is a big place, ground couple miles away can be completely different. My ground is probably not your ground. Have i seen sub 200 bu corn, hell yes, but in my dirt, in today's environment, yes under 200 bu corn would be a crop failure.

Edited by Massey1155 6/29/2020 20:34
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KevinM
Posted 6/29/2020 20:37 (#8344074 - in reply to #8342856)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield



SE IL

kst1 - 6/29/2020 07:08 Where have they ever said they are geniuses? Where has any other group estimated the total production or demand better? In fact, no one tries to hit the real numbers, they try to hit the USDA's. That's a decent standard, no matter how much you bitch about it on here. 15 billion bushels of supply, 15 billion bushels of demand, and you whine that they were off 300 million. I'd hate to be your wife.


dang it kst I just blew my beer all over the screen lol 

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McFarmer
Posted 6/29/2020 20:44 (#8344098 - in reply to #8344032)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield


So you are saying you can’t make money on 200 bu corn ? Maybe we have different ideas of what a disaster is.
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turdypointbuck
Posted 6/29/2020 23:14 (#8344418 - in reply to #8343787)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield



NW Barton County Missouri
I've had nearly 40" for the year but none in June. If the corn makes 30bu I'd be surprised. She's gonna try next week.
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jd9630
Posted 6/30/2020 06:48 (#8344620 - in reply to #8342699)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield


SC Miinnesota
Sorry not all corn is grown in Illinois and Indiana. Southern MN and northern Iowa were huge last year and will be bigger this year with normal weather
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Massey1155
Posted 6/30/2020 07:51 (#8344757 - in reply to #8344098)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield



NW Iowa
I think you misunderstand what i'm saying. I'm saying with the good dirt, if i do my part in taking care of the crop, under 200 bu is a crop failure. With black dirt with high organic matter growing above 200 bu corn isn't hard.
200bu x $3.5= 700 , that's about break even on COC with the rent in my area.
To me crop failure is tied into price. If you don't market well, you can't bu your way out of it.
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bpreuss
Posted 6/30/2020 08:51 (#8344909 - in reply to #8342546)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield


MN
+1
Selling years out at a loss no less..... circling the drain.
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kst1
Posted 6/30/2020 21:42 (#8346425 - in reply to #8344074)
Subject: RE: I'll take the bashing by predicting we are on our way to a 180+ yield


I'm sorry for your loss.
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