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Coronavirus chart
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Pat H
Posted 3/24/2020 08:33 (#8134230 - in reply to #8134135)
Subject: RE: Coronavirus chart


cropsey, il 61731
Yes the chart is useless unless you rename it "testing results" and that doesn't say anything about population, etc.

I'll toss something out there since most of us have experienced China's shenanigans, the disease started much earlier (maybe months) and has been spreading for a while now. It's mild and folks here don't stop working with a mild fever (fever generally equals contagious) so away it went. You may have heard reports of folks having bad flus last year and didn't think much about it. We definitely were not testing for it and it sounds like the researcher in Washington state (Dr. Cho?) was one of the first to modify their flu study to check for corona.

It's not like you get it passing someone in a car, but it is like any other respiratory disease, you have to come in contact with wet stuff expelled by someone. Also, panic, so far, doesn't prevent it or cure it (maybe we are not trying hard enough?)

It looks like it's concentrated at the coasts/big cities and that is to be expected (lots of people, lots of travel) and more or less even throughout the rest of the country. It doesn't look like a march from ports of entry across the country in a big hurry (think cough in a pig barn moving from one end to the other in a day). Instead it's about like any flu getting spread (randomly), except it's new so there isn't much immunity to stop it. There may even have been deaths due to corona last year and just labeled as flu.

So, this thing maybe be on the verge of burning out and certainly everyone (or at least most) staying home definitely gives time for those infected to get well (2 weeks is plenty) and pretty much stop the the spread (which may already be slowing). Remember more testing doesn't indicate the disease is growing or shrinking.

This doesn't answer the question of why markets are going back up, but markets don't have to make sense
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