|
EC SoDak | So, some of the details I’ve read would be NASS numbers are actual planted based on their survey. So, you would have your normal planting numbers + PP acres that got planted to corn and beans as well. They did this report different than past Aug reports in the sense, they won’t do NASS boots in the field counts until September. So, this time it’s producer and other ag insider surveys, satellite surveys, and looking at FSA numbers to come up with a number. Special for this year was the resurvey from the June report. NASS assumes normal weather when calculating yields l, but I don’t know how they account for June planted in the sense of yield drop, I’m assuming they don’t discount too much for that since we are only 3% lower than last year.
As I understand it, the released FSA numbers don’t take into account PP acres that got planted to another crop. Likely, in a normal year, the crop on PP ground is rather insignificant. However, this year, with the amount of PP and then the date change to sept 1 and MFP, I feel this number is significant this year.
What I haven’t heard discussed here on AgTalk in detail is “What did farmers do with their PP acres?” That could help true up the FSA number if folks don’t believe NASS.
| |
|
NASS crop chief
