this storm is Not expected to be as bad as Katrina.. and Rita which knocked a lot of production off in the gulf.. However.. HOUSTON.. is Refinery Central.. and given the level of flooding going on.. it appears that getting back to "normal" is going to be.. days.. or even.. weeks.. or longer till.. we recover.

Refinieries in TEXAS.. the LARGEST refining state in the Country.. ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oil_refineries#Texas ) followed closely by Louisianna.. by my simple uneducated count.. I count ten..edit add: whoops missed one.. Eleven.. 11 refinieries possibly affected.. uhm.. that's ALOT!!

2.73 myn bbls per day... somewhere around 15% of US production.. in an industry which routinely runs at 85% of capacity of UP time.. means the rest has to go 100% now...?!?  Until back online.. although we do have stocks in storage of near record amounts.. probably the saving grace.. but again.. these stocks are along the gulf.. by the refineries..  ???

• Baytown Refinery (ExxonMobil), Baytown 560,500 bbl/d (89,110 m³/d)
• Big Spring Refinery (Delek), Big Spring 70,000 bbl/d (11,000 m³/d)
• Beaumont Refinery (ExxonMobil), Beaumont 344,600 bbl/d (54,790 m³/d)
• Borger Refinery (WRB Refining LP by Phillips 66/Cenovus, Borger 146,000 bbl/d (23,200 m³/d) Nelson Complexity Index 12.3^[47]
• Corpus Christi Complex (Flint Hills Resources), Corpus Christi 290,000 bbl/d (46,000 m³/d)
• Corpus Christi Refinery (Citgo), Corpus Christi 157,500 bbl/d (25,040 m³/d)
• Corpus Christi East & West Refinery (Valero), Corpus Christi 205,000 bbl/d (32,600 m³/d), Nelson Complexity Index 15.4^[33]
• Deer Park Refinery (Shell Oil Company), Deer Park 316,600 bbl/d (50,340 m³/d)
• El Paso Refinery (Western Refining), El Paso 122,000 bbl/d (19,400 m³/d)
• Galveston Bay Refinery (Marathon Petroleum Company), Texas City 459,000 bbl/d (73,000 m³/d)
• Houston Refinery (Lyondell), Houston 263,776 bbl/d (41,937.0 m³/d)
• Houston Refinery (Valero), Houston 100,000 bbl/d (16,000 m³/d), Nelson Complexity Index 8.9^[33]
• Independent Refinery (Stratnor), Houston 100,000 bbl/d (16,000 m³/d)
• McKee Refinery (Valero), Sunray 168,000 bbl/d (26,700 m³/d), Nelson Complexity Index 9.5^[33]
• Nixon Refinery (Blue Dolphin) Nixon, Texas 11,471 bbl/d (1,823.7 m³/d)
• Pasadena Refinery (Petrobras), Pasadena 100,000 bbl/d (16,000 m³/d)
• Port Arthur Refinery (Total), Port Arthur 225,500 bbl/d (35,850 m³/d)
• Port Arthur Refinery (Motiva Enterprises), Port Arthur 636,500 bbl/d (101,200 m³/d)
• Port Arthur Refinery (Valero), Port Arthur 335,000 bbl/d (53,300 m³/d), Nelson Complexity Index 12.4^[33]
• San Antonio Refinery (Calumet Lubricants), San Antonio 16,800 bbl/d (2,670 m³/d)
• Sweeny Refinery (Phillips 66), Sweeny 247,000 bbl/d (39,300 m³/d) Nelson Complexity Index 13.2^[47]
• Texas City Refinery (Marathon Petroleum Company), Texas City 86,000 bbl/d (13,700 m³/d)
• Texas City Refinery (Valero), Texas City 225,000 bbl/d (35,800 m³/d)
• Three Rivers Refinery (Valero), Three Rivers 89,000 bbl/d (14,100 m³/d), Nelson Complexity Index 13.2^[33]
• Tyler Refinery (Delek), Tyler 75,000 bbl/d (11,900 m³/d)

( https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pnp_unc_dcu_nus_m.htm )

Refinery Utilization and Capacity   (Thousand Barrels per Day, Except Where Noted)

Area:    U.S.  PADD 1     East Coast     Appalachian No. 1  PADD 2     Ind., Ill. and Ky.     Minn., Wis., N. Dak., S. Dak.     Okla., Kans., Mo.  PADD 3     Texas Inland     Texas Gulf Coast     La. Gulf Coast     N. La., Ark     New Mexico  PADD 4  PADD 5    Period:      Monthly  Annual

Download Series History     Definitions, Sources & Notes
Show Data By:   Process Area	GraphClear	Dec-16	Jan-17	Feb-17	Mar-17	Apr-17	May-17	View History
Gross Input to Atmospheric Crude Oil Distillation Units		16,896	16,458	15,820	16,380	17,265	17,494	1985-2017
Operable Capacity (Calendar Day)		18,508	18,621	18,617	18,621	18,621	18,557	1985-2017
Operating		18,356	18,314	18,169	18,420	18,420	18,338	1985-2017
Idle		152	307	448	201	201	219	1985-2017
Operable Utilization Rate (%)		91.3	88.4	85.0	88.0	92.7	94.3	1985-2017

Katrina/Rita kicked off the run to the original crude oil spike which kicked the ethanol boom off..

similarities...???

Well I guess we're still dependent upon the gulf for our nation's energy needs.. how much?

.. we're about to find out.

Nobody seemed to be too concerned before the storm.. then again.. no need to evacute either...

smh.

edit.. once we get past memorial day weekend.. the summer driving season will be in the rear view mirror.. so the rest of the nation's capacity can take up some of the slack.. just depends upon how much damage occurs..  IF any...??

Still these hurricanes ARE a STATEMENT FOR diversification.. in fuel supplies.. like ethanol.. imho.

edit: I guessed 15% of capacity at risk.. calculated it.. 14.71%.. I KNOW this stuff..  ;-)