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Crop Progress
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illinois-kris
Posted 7/10/2017 23:36 (#6118129 - in reply to #6117440)
Subject: RE: Crop Progress


IL
I expect the bean progress to improve slightly in Illinois at least. The weather trend that started back in February is due to cycle through a wet period in the next 5-7 days. Using data points from https://waterdata.usgs.gov/il/nwis/current/?type=precip the state average for precipitation has developed what i believe to be a pattern. A 19 day cycle of dry, under 1.2" precipitation total, followed by 9 days adding up to 3.1" of precipitation. This data I've compiled since March daily searching for patterns. The variation in time on both dry and wet cycles is +/- 1.5days. Precipitation variation is +/- .3

If this pattern holds, the next crop progress report will directly follow a wet cycle. This is a wide view of the state that may possibly be weighted based on location of more rain gagues near larger populations (north of I-72).

Started to collect data for neighboring I States but got overwhelmed by sheer amount of data and decided to focus solely on Illinois.
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