Oswald No-Till Farm Cleghorn, IA | Good Question.
First, I start looking at trends in hybrid relative performance vs. things I am working with.
Second, I look at relative moisture/drydown which is important in the $/ac calculation as drying costs escalate.
I try to get an estimate of standibility if possible.
Here, we are limited in our heat drying capacity in both equipment and labor. So, our philosophy for farm stored corn is leaning more and more to high air drying of hybrids that deliver 15-18% corn and generate respectable $/ac. This is especially true with one farm that will go right to the elevator in an environment of 1.5%/point shrink as well as commercial drying cost.
As you say, one can always calculate if that full season hybrid yielding 10 bu/ac more is worth 5 points of moisture... is that 5 points more than something I am using that averages 17% or something I am using that averages 22%? If that 5 points more moisture means 27% moisture corn, it isn't worth it to me even if that 27% moisture corn has a higher dollars per acre.
Just some thoughts
Tom |