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South central Minnesota | Well if you look back at the 4 crops that were above 160, 2004,2009,2014 and 15 what were the hallmark of the summers? Are we seeing the same type of conditions? Crop progress is a tell as was mentioned above. We want a plow horse pulling the production wagon, not a race horse.
Look back at 2010, we were told by USDA that we were on a pace to beat 2009 even into August report, why someone here were saying 170 in July and didn't change their tune until far later than anyone else, even whispered 180 with everything going right in August and September.
Now that said I can see this being the first crop of this size, planted acres wise to exceed 160, that and with trendline increase since 2010. No matter what August and September weather still will determine the final size and acres will be lower, 75% certain of that assumption. | |
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Hot weather on Corn and Soybeans
