| We got a reduction in production this week due to margin issues.. Still up 2.6% yoy vs 14/15..Blenders input a proxy for domestic demand was actually up a little bit.. lower than the year to date average but higher than last year.. up 2.1% yoy.. We got a good bump in implied disappearance suspected to be mostly exports.. which continues to run almost 24% yoy over last year's pace. As well as a reduction in stocks. At 8.941 myn bbbls gasoline supplied was a little soft.. possibly due to the Snowstorm on the East Coast...?? but demand is still up about 1% yoy.. but has slowed.. economy softening...??? | | | | | | | | | | Computed | | | | | | | | | | | | Weekly Production | | | | | | | number to balance | Computed | Actual | Total | Weekly bu | | Weekly US | | Week | | Blenders Input | Imports | Stocks | Capacity | Residual and exports | Exports | Exports | Ethanol | Grind | Monthly | Year | Supplied Finished | | | Ethanol k bbls/day | k bbls /day | k bbls /day | k bbls | k bbls | | k bbls /day | k bbls | Monthly | EIA | demand | | | myn bu | Motor Gasoline | | | | | | | | | | 37,936 | | | | | | | | 2.78 | conversion | | Ethanol as % of | 9/4/2015 | 958 | | 896 | | 0 | | 18,642 | 49% | | 113.4 | | 794 | | | 1009.4 | 101,314 | | | 9017 | 9.94% | | 9/11/2015 | 961 | | 878 | | 0 | | 18,291 | 48% | | 133.1 | | 932 | | | 1011.1 | 101,631 | | | 8983 | 9.77% | | 9/18/2015 | 938 | | 892 | | 44 | | 18,900 | 50% | | 3.0 | | 21 | | | 895.0 | 99,199 | | | 9215 | 9.68% | | 9/25/2015 | 943 | | 881 | | 0 | | 18,782 | 50% | | 78.9 | | 552 | 2,299 | 1,438 | 959.9 | 99,727 | | | 9021 | 9.77% | | 10/2/2015 | 950 | | 882 | | 17 | | 18,812 | 50% | | 80.7 | | 565 | | | 962.7 | 100,468 | | | 8958 | 9.85% | | 10/9/2015 | 949 | | 887 | | 0 | | 18,956 | 50% | | 41.4 | | 290 | | | 928.4 | 100,362 | | | 9137 | 9.71% | | 10/16/2015 | 951 | | 897 | | 0 | | 18,872 | 50% | | 66.0 | | 462 | | | 963.0 | 100,573 | | | 9157 | 9.80% | | 10/23/2015 | 944 | | 915 | | 0 | | 18,273 | 48% | | 114.6 | | 802 | | | 1029.6 | 99,833 | | | 9343 | 9.79% | | 10/30/2015 | 969 | | 884 | | 10 | | 18,774 | 49% | | 23.4 | | 164 | 2,283 | 1,796 | 907.4 | 102,477 | | | 9184 | 9.63% | | 11/6/2015 | 982 | | 868 | | 26 | | 18,854 | 50% | | 128.6 | | 900 | | | 996.6 | 103,852 | | | 9388 | 9.25% | | 11/13/2015 | 975 | | 870 | | 0 | | 19,249 | 51% | | 48.6 | | 340 | | | 918.6 | 103,112 | | | 9054 | 9.61% | | 11/20/2015 | 1008 | | 885 | | 0 | | 19,627 | 52% | | 69.0 | | 483 | | | 954.0 | 106,601 | | | 8921 | 9.92% | | 11/27/2015 | 956 | | 876 | | 36 | | 19,997 | 53% | | 63.1 | | 442 | 2,165 | | 939.1 | 101,102 | | | 9281 | 9.44% | | 12/4/2015 | 993 | | 839 | | 0 | | 19,829 | 52% | | 178.0 | | 1246 | | | 1017.0 | 105,015 | | | 9420 | 8.91% | | 12/11/2015 | 1000 | | 890 | | 32 | | 20,322 | 54% | | 71.6 | | 501 | | | 961.6 | 105,755 | | | 9220 | 9.65% | | 12/18/2015 | 973 | | 880 | | 0 | | 20,387 | 54% | | 83.7 | | 586 | | | 963.7 | 102,900 | | | 9185 | 9.58% | | 12/25/2015 | 992 | | 907 | | 0 | | 20,166 | 53% | | 116.6 | | 816 | 3,149 | | 1023.6 | 104,909 | | | 9395 | 9.65% | | 1/1/2016 | 996 | | 787 | | 0 | | 21,099 | 56% | | 75.7 | | 530 | | | 862.7 | 105,332 | | | 8159 | 9.65% | | 1/8/2016 | 1003 | | 807 | | 0 | | 21,345 | 56% | | 160.9 | | 1126 | | | 967.9 | 106,073 | | | 8500 | 9.49% | | 1/15/2016 | 983 | | 856 | | 0 | | 21,940 | 58% | | 42.0 | | 294 | | | 898.0 | 103,958 | | | 9079 | 9.43% | | 1/22/2016 | 961 | | 865 | | 0 | | 21,436 | 57% | | 168.0 | | 1176 | | | 1033.0 | 101,631 | | | 8941 | 9.67% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,746 | pace | | | | | | | | 15 to date | 970.7 | | 873.4 | | 7.9 | | 19645 | | | 89 | | 620 | 2728 | ?? | 962 | 102,658 | | | 9074 | | | 14 to date | 945.8 | | 855.2 | | 1.0 | | 18286 | | | 71 | | 500 | 2210 | 1822 | 927 | 100,024 | | | 8982 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2633.8 | | | | | | 15 vs 14 | 2.6% | | 2.1% | | | | 7.4% | | | 23.9% | | 23.9% | 23.5% | ?? | 3.8% | 2.6% | | | 1.0% | | | | | | 48945.0 | | | | Calendar Yr: | | 4666.6 | | 32666.0 | | 16704.0 | | | | | | | | | | | 14389.8 | | | | | | | gallons: | | 1371.97 | 32,844 | 23,649 | 72.0% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 701.568 | | | | | | | | 2015 avg | 961.8 | | 874.0 | | | | | | | | | | | 949.4 | pace | 101,712 | avg 2015 grind | | | | | 14.74 | | 13.40 | | | | | | | | | | | 0.949 | | | | | | | | 1/2/2015 | 949 | | 789 | | 0 | | 18,845 | 50% | | 52.7 | | 369 | | | 841.7 | 100,362 | | | 8809 | 8.96% | | 1/9/2015 | 978 | | 815 | | 0 | | 20,229 | 53% | | -34.7 | | -243 | | | 780.3 | 103,429 | | | 8875 | 9.18% | | 1/16/2015 | 979 | | 837 | | 0 | | 20,387 | 54% | | 119.4 | | 836 | | | 956.4 | 103,535 | | | 8851 | 9.46% | | >>>1/23/2015 | 978 | | 842 | | 0 | | 20,631 | 54% | | 101.1 | | 708 | | | 943.1 | 103,429 | | | 9022 | 9.33% | | 1/30/2015 | 948 | | 830 | | 0 | | 20,986 | 55% | | 67.3 | | 471 | 2,141 | 1,637 | 897.3 | 100,256 | 511,010 | | 8442 | 9.83% | | 2/6/2015 | 961 | | 826 | | 0 | | 21,135 | 56% | | 113.7 | | 796 | | | 939.7 | 101,631 | | | 8282 | 9.97% | | 2/13/2015 | 964 | | 852 | | 0 | | 21,084 | 56% | | 119.3 | | 835 | | | 971.3 | 101,948 | | | 8809 | 9.67% | | Weekly production number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yop_nus_mbbld&f=w Weekly Blenders Input.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yir_nus_mbbld&f=w Weekly Imports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_IM0_NUS-Z00_MBBLD&f=W Weekly Stocks number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_SAE_NUS_MBBL&f=W Weekly US Product Supplied of Finished Motor Gasoline http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGFUPUS2&f=W Monthly US Exports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOOXE_EEX_NUS-Z00_MBBL&f=M Cheers. |