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Russia considering going in with OPEC to stabilize Crude Prices?
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JonSCKs
Posted 1/28/2016 08:42 (#5069475 - in reply to #5069367)
Subject: Ethanol exports updated.. pretty good week.


We got a reduction in production this week due to margin issues.. Still up 2.6% yoy vs 14/15..Blenders input a proxy for domestic demand was actually up a little bit.. lower than the year to date average but higher than last year.. up 2.1% yoy.. We got a good bump in implied disappearance suspected to be mostly exports.. which continues to run almost 24% yoy over last year's pace.  As well as a reduction in stocks.  At 8.941 myn bbbls gasoline supplied was a little soft.. possibly due to the Snowstorm on the East Coast...??  but demand is still up about 1% yoy.. but has slowed.. economy softening...???

 

          Computed          
 Weekly Production      number to balanceComputedActualTotal Weekly bu  Weekly US  
Week Blenders InputImportsStocksCapacityResidual and exportsExportsExportsEthanolGrindMonthlyYearSupplied Finished 
 Ethanol k bbls/dayk bbls /dayk bbls /day k bbls k bbls k bbls /dayk bblsMonthlyEIAdemand  myn buMotor Gasoline 
        37,936       2.78conversion Ethanol as % of
9/4/2015958 896 0 18,64249% 113.4 794  1009.4101,314  90179.94% 
9/11/2015961 878 0 18,29148% 133.1 932  1011.1101,631  89839.77% 
9/18/2015938 892 44 18,90050% 3.0 21  895.099,199  92159.68% 
9/25/2015943 881 0 18,78250% 78.9 5522,2991,438959.999,727  90219.77% 
10/2/2015950 882 17 18,81250% 80.7 565  962.7100,468  89589.85% 
10/9/2015949 887 0 18,95650% 41.4 290  928.4100,362  91379.71% 
10/16/2015951 897 0 18,87250% 66.0 462  963.0100,573  91579.80% 
10/23/2015944 915 0 18,27348% 114.6 802  1029.699,833  93439.79% 
10/30/2015969 884 10 18,77449% 23.4 1642,2831,796907.4102,477  91849.63% 
11/6/2015982 868 26 18,85450% 128.6 900  996.6103,852  93889.25% 
11/13/2015975 870 0 19,24951% 48.6 340  918.6103,112  90549.61% 
11/20/20151008 885 0 19,62752% 69.0 483  954.0106,601  89219.92% 
11/27/2015956 876 36 19,99753% 63.1 4422,165 939.1101,102  92819.44% 
12/4/2015993 839 0 19,82952% 178.0 1246  1017.0105,015  94208.91% 
12/11/20151000 890 32 20,32254% 71.6 501  961.6105,755  92209.65% 
12/18/2015973 880 0 20,38754% 83.7 586  963.7102,900  91859.58% 
12/25/2015992 907 0 20,16653% 116.6 8163,149 1023.6104,909  93959.65% 
1/1/2016996 787 0 21,09956% 75.7 530  862.7105,332  81599.65% 
1/8/20161003 807 0 21,34556% 160.9 1126  967.9106,073  85009.49% 
1/15/2016983 856 0 21,94058% 42.0 294  898.0103,958  90799.43% 
1/22/2016961 865 0 21,43657% 168.0 1176  1033.0101,631  89419.67% 
             3,746pace       
15 to date970.7 873.4 7.9 19645  89 6202728??962102,658  9074  
14 to date945.8 855.2 1.0 18286  71 50022101822927100,024  8982  
                2633.8     
15 vs 142.6% 2.1%   7.4%  23.9% 23.9%23.5%??3.8%2.6%  1.0%  
   48945.0   Calendar Yr: 4666.6 32666.0 16704.0       
   14389.8      gallons: 1371.9732,84423,64972.0%      
              701.568       
2015 avg961.8 874.0          949.4pace101,712avg 2015 grind   
 14.74 13.40          0.949       

 

1/2/2015949 789 0 18,84550% 52.7 369  841.7100,362  88098.96% 
1/9/2015978 815 0 20,22953% -34.7 -243  780.3103,429  88759.18% 
1/16/2015979 837 0 20,38754% 119.4 836  956.4103,535  88519.46% 
>>>1/23/2015978 842 0 20,63154% 101.1 708  943.1103,429  90229.33% 
1/30/2015948 830 0 20,98655% 67.3 4712,1411,637897.3100,256511,010 84429.83% 
2/6/2015961 826 0 21,13556% 113.7 796  939.7101,631  82829.97% 
2/13/2015964 852 0 21,08456% 119.3 835  971.3101,948  88099.67% 

Weekly production number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yop_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Blenders Input.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yir_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Imports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_IM0_NUS-Z00_MBBLD&f=W

Weekly Stocks number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_SAE_NUS_MBBL&f=W

Weekly US Product Supplied of Finished Motor Gasoline http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGFUPUS2&f=W

Monthly US Exports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOOXE_EEX_NUS-Z00_MBBL&f=M

Cheers.

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