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Brazil dryness and Mato Grosso
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Posted 12/17/2015 13:20 (#4966889 - in reply to #4966697)
Subject: RE: Go look here and ....



Death comes to us all. Life's but a walking shadow
Look here : http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/JAWF_Monitoring/Brazil/GFS_fo... and their precip. analysis and time series tabs as well. It is pretty clear that Mato Grosso and some adjacent north central states are dry and not likely to get much rain at least in the next few weeks. Mato Grosso accounts for 25% of the soy crop and good portion of corn as well. As I said below Mato Grosso was supposed to get some rain this week which given the new forcast doesn't look likely. If you lose 25 MMT of Brazil's 98 MMT crop what do you have?
Granted southern Brazil is getting good rain but come harvest that may turn into too much.
Now Mato Grosso may get some rain and still make a crop but every week that passes with rain this becomes less likely.
For what it's worth.
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