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Ethanol update. 2nd highest grind on record.
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JonSCKs
Posted 12/16/2015 13:09 (#4964278)
Subject: Ethanol update. 2nd highest grind on record.


At 1,000,000 bbls per day of production this is only the 2nd time we've broken the million barrel per day barrier.  At a 2.78 conversion we ground around 105.7 myn bushels the week of the 11th.  So far the grind is running about 3.3% ahead of a year ago.  Domestic consumption is running around 2.3% ahead of a year ago.  The "adjusted" (72% factor) on the "computed number suspected to be exports" continues to run at an 846 million Gallon pace.. up 12.5% yoy.

Stocks of ethanol did increase breeching the 20 million bbls level and we did import 32 k bbls per day for the week.

At 9.153 myn bbls per day domestic gasoline consumption continues to run about 2.5% higher than a year ago.

          Computed          
 Weekly Production      number to balanceComputedActualTotal Weekly bu  Weekly US  
Week Blenders InputImportsStocksCapacityResidual and exportsExportsExportsEthanolGrindMonthlyYearSupplied Finished 
 Ethanol k bbls/dayk bbls /dayk bbls /day k bbls k bbls k bbls /dayk bblsMonthlyEIAdemand  myn buMotor Gasoline 
        37,936       2.78conversion Ethanol as % of
9/4/2015958 896 0 18,64249% 113.4 794  1009.4101,314  90179.94% 
9/11/2015961 878 0 18,29148% 133.1 932  1011.1101,631  89839.77% 
9/18/2015938 892 44 18,90050% 3.0 21  895.099,199  92159.68% 
9/25/2015943 881 0 18,78250% 78.9 5522,2991,438959.999,727  90219.77% 
10/2/2015950 882 17 18,81250% 80.7 565  962.7100,468  89589.85% 
10/9/2015949 887 0 18,95650% 41.4 290  928.4100,362  91379.71% 
10/16/2015951 897 0 18,87250% 66.0 462  963.0100,573  91579.80% 
10/23/2015944 915 0 18,27348% 114.6 802  1029.699,833  93439.79% 
10/30/2015969 884 10 18,77449% 23.4 1642,283 907.4102,477  91849.63% 
11/6/2015982 868 26 18,85450% 128.6 900  996.6103,852  93889.25% 
11/13/2015975 870 0 19,24951% 48.6 340  918.6103,112  90549.61% 
11/20/20151008 885 0 19,62752% 69.0 483  954.0106,601  89219.92% 
11/27/2015956 876 36 19,99753% 63.1 4422,165 939.1101,102  92819.44% 
12/4/2015993 839 0 19,82952% 178.0 1246  1017.0105,015  94208.91% 
12/11/20151000 890 32 20,32254% 71.6 501  961.6105,755  92209.65% 
             2,831        
15 to date965.1 882.7 11.0 19079  81 5662395??964102,068  9153  
14 to date934.3 862.7 0.2 17881  72 5042210182293598,804  8929  
                3264.3     
15 vs 143.3% 2.3%   6.7%  12.5% 12.5%8.4%??3.1%3.3%  2.5%  
   43843.0   Calendar Yr: 4019.7 28138.0 14908.0       
   12889.8      gallons: 1181.832,84423,64972.0%      
              626.136       
2015 avg959.0 876.9          846.3pace101,422     
 14.70 13.44          0.846       

Weekly production number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yop_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Blenders Input.. http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=w_epooxe_yir_nus_mbbld&f=w

Weekly Imports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_IM0_NUS-Z00_MBBLD&f=W

Weekly Stocks number http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPOOXE_SAE_NUS_MBBL&f=W

Weekly US Product Supplied of Finished Motor Gasoline http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGFUPUS2&f=W

Monthly US Exports of Ethanol http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOOXE_EEX_NUS-Z00_MBBL&f=M

Cheers.

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