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Ending stocks are falling.. as typical.
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JonSCKs
Posted 11/8/2015 09:30 (#4884174 - in reply to #4883011)
Subject: Here ya go.. 5.71 byn bushels.


This is quick and dirty.. will need to come back and touch up.. later but.. yal.. with ethanol exports we are on track.

 

     Total    
  Gasoline supplied Ethanol    
  bblsbyn gallonsbyn gallonspercentagecorn bushels byn
      exports   
 20013143132.01 1.765 1.34%0.64 
 20023229135.62 2.14 1.58%0.78 
 20033261136.96 2.81 2.05%1.02 
 20043333139.99 3.4 2.43%1.24 
 20053343140.41 3.9 2.78%1.42 
 20063377141.83 4.88 3.44%1.77 
 20073389142.34 6.52 4.58%2.37 
 20083290138.18 9.31 6.74%3.39 
 20093284137.93 10.94 7.93%3.98 
 20103282137.84 13.30.3989.65%4.84 
 20113195134.19 13.931.19510.38%5.07 
 20123178133.48 13.220.7419.90%4.81 
 20133228135.58 13.290.6199.80%4.83 
 20143256136.75 14.30.84610.46%5.20 
 20153336140.11 14.91.6710.63%5.42 
 2016 142.50 15.71.811.02%5.71 
 2017        


The first column is gasoline supplied.. ( http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mgfupus1&f=a )

which I adjust to gallons.. 2nd column..

Total ethanol usage comes from RFA.. ( http://www.ethanolrfa.org/resources/publications/outlook/ )

which does not break out exports.. although I pulled them separately from.. ( http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=m_epo... )  4th column

As you can see.. it's ethanol exports that are really stirring things up.. we are on MAJOR GROWTH pace.. which combined with domestic just may push total usage to 15.7 byn gallons for 2016.. requiring.. 5.7 byn bushels.. 6th column..

So.. Yal.. there ya go.. 

edit add: the percentage of ethanol is off the total including exports.. thus it is wrong.. will fix it later..  got to run.. bye. 



Edited by JonSCKs 11/8/2015 09:50
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