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arc and their yield models
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Posted 9/29/2015 06:51 (#4814246 - in reply to #4813651)
Subject: RE:Any indication yet?



Death comes to us all. Life's but a walking shadow
A month ago following the ProFarmer Tour I tallied up production using both the USDA Aug. yield estimate and the PFT estimates. The USDA & PFT came in at 168.8 and 163.8 respectively giving 13.68 & 13.28 billion bushel with 81.1 million harvested acres. With the exception of South Dakota all the PFT yield estimates were 3 to 20 bushel lower than the USDA resulting in a 400 million bushel difference.
Now, a month & a half later do we know with any more certainty which yield estimates might be closer? Not that it matters too much because unless the Sept stocks report has a surprise there will be a good cushion anyhow.
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