Death comes to us all. Life's but a walking shadow | Don, did you notice on your graph of residuals, out of a total of 25 years of residuals you plotted, the five years for which the residuals exceeded 10 bu/A only once did the subsequent year's residual exceed zero and then only by a couple three bushel per acre. Simple probabilities would seem to suggest that it is highly unlikely this year's crop will exceed your projected trend value of 162 bushel per acre.
Edited by 1234 9/14/2015 18:53
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