I'm not making a big deal out of it.. yes we hit a dry pocket.. LIBERAL Ks got more rain then we did.. and yes crops look better out there.. but..

our multi hybrid.. multi company test plot came in right at 50% of last year's here..  down 50%.. and we're in the supposed High yielding Western Cornbelt that's supposed to offset the ECB...

The late season dryness.. really put the hurt on grain fill.. in corn.. beans and sorghum are yet to come...  Story on 2015 crop is it died trying to cross the finish line...  It didn't mature..

and one more pet peeve.. I would like to see USDA COME OUT WITH AN HONEST ESTIMATE of Soybean CARRYOUT THIS YEAR.. NOT ONE That gets revised LOWER BY 250 myn BUSHELS THROUGHOUT THE YEAR like the last..???   3... 5..  ???

When was the last time the WASDE got within 200 myn bushels of it's final number at this time..

a YEAR ago WASDE was calling for a 430 myn carryout.. we're at 240 now...   Seriously?!?  

I can do better throwing darts at a dartboard... 

edit add:

Don't have time but did it anyway.. last 6 years of August WASDE Soybean Carryouts..

   Year...  Current Carryout.. NEXT year's guestimate..

August 2015  240   470
August 2014  140   430  overshot by 190
August 2013  125   220  overshot by 80
August 2012  145   115  under by 10
August 2011  230   155  overshot by 10
August 2010  160   360  overshot by 130

average  173   vs  292..

Is there a bias there? 

well is there???   Do we have to SUBTRACT 120 myn bushels from Friday's WASDE soybean GUESSTIMATE for 15/16..???  because this data says.. "yes."