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Frosted Bean Numbers
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JonSCKs
Posted 9/14/2014 19:01 (#4074393 - in reply to #4074183)
Subject: Golly was the corn impacted more?!?


 

Corn Dented – Selected States

 

[These 18 States planted 91% of the 2013 corn acreage]

 

State

 

Week ending

2009-2013

Average

September 7,

2013

August 31,

2014

September 7,

2014

 

(percent)

(percent)

(percent)

(percent)

Colorado ...................................

Illinois ........................................

Indiana ......................................

Iowa ..........................................

Kansas ......................................

Kentucky ...................................

Michigan ...................................

Minnesota .................................

Missouri ....................................

Nebraska ..................................

North Carolina ...........................

North Dakota .............................

Ohio ..........................................

Pennsylvania ............................

South Dakota ............................

Tennessee ................................

Texas ........................................

Wisconsin .................................

18 States ..................................

60

66

64

51

72

77

50

46

81

69

100

48

64

58

63

94

80

35

61

32

72

51

53

66

72

28

34

81

61

91

13

41

32

41

82

86

23

53

48

84

65

72

77

81

45

61

90

75

94

37

60

49

63

91

90

41

69

58

78

71

77

86

85

57

67

89

80

99

56

66

59

68

97

85

53

74

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/current/CropProg/CropProg-09-08-2014.pdf

North Dakota was only 37% mature a week ago..SD 63.. Minny 61.. Iowa 72.. Nebr 75  Michigan at 45

The Chart shows a Hard Dent 3/4 milk line could still lose 5%.. 

Just those 6 states at 5% is 115 myn bushels..  Could look at Wisconsin at 41% although that would take an adjustment for the high silage rate..??

125.. 135 myn bushels.. 145..??

Now granted this is going to be VERY HARD to quantify the damage done because all you are doing is reducing test weight.. most likely..60.5 tw becomes 57.5..  195 bu corn becomes 185 bu..

I don't want to post the spreadsheet but Iowa was 34.2 myn bu.. MI was 10.. Minny was 26.. Nebr was 19 ND was 11.4 SD was 14 myn and Wisconsin was (at 2.5%) 7.3 = 122 myn bushels.

Those are high.. but there might be some damage in Ks.. ?? and other fringe freeze area's.. Ks was only 77% mature.



Edited by JonSCKs 9/14/2014 19:11
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