Might as well take it from the top.. so I'll summarize all my stuff on this post. First off Ethanol grind.. I make some assumptions here.. so bear with me but I'm after the CHANGE.. how are things CHANGING and what does that do going forward..?? I assume that the whole grind is Corn.. which it isn't.. but whatever the percentage is I assume is constant.. which it will move around a little.. and we NOW have cellulosic.. but it's still minor.. at this point.. anywho.. Ethanol production per week for Crop year's 12/13 13/14 and 14/15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2012-Sep | 09/07 | 816 | 09/14 | 834 | 09/21 | 809 | 09/28 | 785 | | | | | | 2012-Oct | 10/05 | 800 | 10/12 | 797 | 10/19 | 801 | 10/26 | 825 | | | | | | 2012-Nov | 11/02 | 827 | 11/09 | 824 | 11/16 | 811 | 11/23 | 803 | 11/30 | 835 | | | | 2012-Dec | 12/07 | 824 | 12/14 | 822 | 12/21 | 834 | 12/28 | 807 | | | | | | 2013-Jan | 01/04 | 826 | 01/11 | 784 | 01/18 | 792 | 01/25 | 770 | | | | | | 2013-Feb | 02/01 | 774 | 02/08 | 789 | 02/15 | 797 | 02/22 | 812 | | | | | | 2013-Mar | 03/01 | 805 | 03/08 | 797 | 03/15 | 809 | 03/22 | 805 | 03/29 | 807 | | | | 2013-Apr | 04/05 | 854 | 04/12 | 832 | 04/19 | 853 | 04/26 | 857 | | | | | | 2013-May | 05/03 | 843 | 05/10 | 857 | 05/17 | 875 | 05/24 | 863 | 05/31 | 885 | | | | 2013-Jun | 06/07 | 884 | 06/14 | 873 | 06/21 | 885 | 06/28 | 863 | | | | | | 2013-Jul | 07/05 | 881 | 07/12 | 876 | 07/19 | 853 | 07/26 | 832 | | | | | | 2013-Aug | 08/02 | 853 | 08/09 | 857 | 08/16 | 844 | 08/23 | 820 | 08/30 | 819 | | | | | | 9987 | | 9942 | | 9963 | | 9842 | | 3346 | | 828.46 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,568.46 | | 2013-Sep | 09/06 | 848 | 09/13 | 838 | 09/20 | 832 | 09/27 | 875 | | | | | | 2013-Oct | 10/04 | 868 | 10/11 | 869 | 10/18 | 897 | 10/25 | 911 | | | | | | 2013-Nov | 11/01 | 902 | 11/08 | 927 | 11/15 | 904 | 11/22 | 927 | 11/29 | 913 | | | | 2013-Dec | 12/06 | 944 | 12/13 | 928 | 12/20 | 926 | 12/27 | 913 | | | | | | 2014-Jan | 01/03 | 919 | 01/10 | 868 | 01/17 | 905 | 01/24 | 900 | 01/31 | 895 | | | | 2014-Feb | 02/07 | 902 | 02/14 | 903 | 02/21 | 905 | 02/28 | 894 | | | | | | 2014-Mar | 03/07 | 869 | 03/14 | 891 | 03/21 | 885 | 03/28 | 922 | | | | | | 2014-Apr | 04/04 | 896 | 04/11 | 939 | 04/18 | 910 | 04/25 | 898 | | | | | | 2014-May | 05/02 | 894 | 05/09 | 922 | 05/16 | 925 | 05/23 | 927 | 05/30 | 938 | | | | 2014-Jun | 06/06 | 944 | 06/13 | 972 | 06/20 | 938 | 06/27 | 953 | | | | | | 2014-Jul | 07/04 | 927 | 07/11 | 943 | 07/18 | 959 | 07/25 | 954 | | | | | | 2014-Aug | 08/01 | 902 | 08/08 | 931 | 08/15 | 937 | 08/22 | 913 | 08/29 | 921 | | | | | | 10815 | | 10931 | | 10923 | | 10987 | | 3667 | | 910.06 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,018.41 | | 2014-Sep | 09/05 | 927 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 927 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,111.84 | |
In 12/13 we ground "more or less" around 4,568. Myn Bushels for ethanol.. For 13/14 we did 5,018 and for 14/15 with one week in the books and 51 yet to go we are Averaging.. 927 or a 5,111 pace.. Keep in mind that a YEAR ago we started off at only 848.. so 927 is hitting the ground "running." So what do we do for 14/15? USDA shows 12/13 at 4,641 and 13/14 at 5,125 with 14/15 ALSO at 5,125... Does it LOOK like we'll ONLY do 5,125..??? Or is there room for a couple 100 myn bushels more..???
Edited by JonSCKs 9/11/2014 12:09
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