AgTalk Home
AgTalk Home
Search Forums | Classifieds (34) | Skins | Language
You are logged in as a guest. ( logon | register )

Okay from the beginning..
View previous thread :: View next thread
   Forums List -> Market TalkMessage format
 
JonSCKs
Posted 9/11/2014 11:49 (#4068548)
Subject: Okay from the beginning..


Might as well take it from the top.. so I'll summarize all my stuff on this post.

First off Ethanol grind..  I make some assumptions here.. so bear with me but I'm after the CHANGE.. how are things CHANGING and what does that do going forward..??  I assume that the whole grind is Corn.. which it isn't.. but whatever the percentage is I assume is constant.. which it will move around a little.. and we NOW have cellulosic.. but it's still minor.. at this point.. anywho..

Ethanol production per week for Crop year's 12/13   13/14  and 14/15      
              
 2012-Sep09/07 81609/14 83409/21 80909/28 785       
  2012-Oct10/05 80010/12 79710/19 80110/26 825       
  2012-Nov11/02 82711/09 82411/16 81111/23 80311/30 835   
  2012-Dec12/07 82412/14 82212/21 83412/28 807       
  2013-Jan01/04 82601/11 78401/18 79201/25 770       
  2013-Feb02/01 77402/08 78902/15 79702/22 812       
  2013-Mar03/01 80503/08 79703/15 80903/22 80503/29 807   
  2013-Apr04/05 85404/12 83204/19 85304/26 857       
  2013-May05/03 84305/10 85705/17 87505/24 86305/31 885   
  2013-Jun06/07 88406/14 87306/21 88506/28 863       
  2013-Jul07/05 88107/12 87607/19 85307/26 832       
  2013-Aug08/02 85308/09 85708/16 84408/23 82008/30 819   
  9987 9942 9963 9842 3346 828.46 
            4,568.46 
  2013-Sep09/06 84809/13 83809/20 83209/27 875       
  2013-Oct10/04 86810/11 86910/18 89710/25 911       
  2013-Nov11/01 90211/08 92711/15 90411/22 92711/29 913   
  2013-Dec12/06 94412/13 92812/20 92612/27 913       
  2014-Jan01/03 91901/10 86801/17 90501/24 90001/31 895   
  2014-Feb02/07 90202/14 90302/21 90502/28 894       
  2014-Mar03/07 86903/14 89103/21 88503/28 922       
  2014-Apr04/04 89604/11 93904/18 91004/25 898       
  2014-May05/02 89405/09 92205/16 92505/23 92705/30 938   
  2014-Jun06/06 94406/13 97206/20 93806/27 953       
  2014-Jul07/04 92707/11 94307/18 95907/25 954       
  2014-Aug08/01 90208/08 93108/15 93708/22 91308/29 921   
  10815 10931 10923 10987 3667 910.06 
            5,018.41 
  2014-Sep09/05 927                   
            927 
            5,111.84 

In 12/13 we ground "more or less" around 4,568. Myn Bushels for ethanol.. For 13/14 we did 5,018 and for 14/15 with one week in the books and 51 yet to go we are Averaging.. 927 or a 5,111 pace..  Keep in mind that a YEAR ago we started off at only 848.. so 927 is hitting the ground "running."

So what do we do for 14/15?  USDA shows 12/13 at 4,641 and 13/14 at 5,125 with 14/15 ALSO at 5,125...  Does it LOOK like we'll ONLY do 5,125..???

Or is there room for a couple 100 myn bushels more..???



Edited by JonSCKs 9/11/2014 12:09
Top of the page Bottom of the page


Jump to forum :
Search this forum
Printer friendly version
E-mail a link to this thread

(Delete cookies)