The 2012 corn crop is a long way from in the bins. a lot can happen. And there is also a lot of money being bet on both ways.

For a producer the smart thing to do would be to budget for around $4 corn and hope for $6 corn.

It gets me thinking of the old method that is usually profitable: sell a portion of 2/3 (or 3/4 depending on your geographic location/historic yield fluctuations) of your likely corn crop each week from Dec though Aug at same time of the same day each week regardless of price.... Leave the other 1/3 or 1/4 until it is in the bin in case of crop problems and maybe to play with a bit.

This way you know 2 things for sure: 1) you will miss selling it all at the top and 2) you will miss selling it all at the bottom.  And maybe #3 you will sleep nights and be in business next year.  This was shown to me years ago to be a relatively simple but consistently profitable approach.

Best not to get tugged one way or the other by some "experts" article or opinion. fwiw.

Jim at Dawn