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selling srw now???
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GAW46
Posted 7/4/2010 18:09 (#1260408 - in reply to #1260273)
Subject: Re: selling srw now???


Would option buying or selling be considered a spec position

Why take the risk??

Lower capital exposure perhaps, but still a speculative risk with your available farm capital

9 of 10 options end up as losers - I think that is the accepted %

Somebody can correct me if I am wrong

Why spend money on a loser spec position

I used to think options was the way to put a floor under my crop price

Instead, all it did was subtract the option cost from my sale price

9 of 10 times-at least that seemed to be my experience

If I wanted to spec, I and most option writers know the profit is in selling options

So who is your typical loser??? specs and farmers-many farmers who follow industry marketing newsletters

Don't need a newsletter if you can market as well as you can grow the crop

Time spent on marketing is very rewarding, financially

100-150/acre/yr is entirely possible

How much would you spend to increase your yield/acre by 5 bu. next yr???

And how much does that add to the total bottom line, after expenses???

Follow the money - somebody is selling in the bottom 1/3 of the market,
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