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N FLA | I heard it bought us a year without screw worm compared to the model data.
From a simple perspective, cows have about 200 flies on them
I think that's 200 flies per animal that were not being moved with the cattle. If you think the flies move independently of cattle, I guess it would be different. But I know when I haul cattle the flies go with them.
I don't think we know the long game of what we are up against. It took 40 years to eradicate to panama. A couple years to rid the southeast US. A half dozen in the SW US. Dozens to eradicate mexico.
I was in Costa Rica and screwworm was described as being commonly observed. So I think there are areas that have years of fly buildup.
Although it doesn't sound like we spent the last year getting facilities ready to produce sterile flies. I think the efforts are much easier with a lower level of flies to contend with.
I guess the question on my mind, if it takes a dozen years to eradicate Mexico, how does the animal movement across the border look for all that time?
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Does keeping the US-Mex border closed...
