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| So the above was my interpretation of what NEIAAG was/is thinking.
My thoughts are as follows:
First, he might be right. I think he’s an excellent technical trader.
Second, for people who casually follow him, they can get in a world of hurt. If you were following him in Dec through February you might have sold a LOT of corn in the $4.20 to $4.35 range because you were afraid of $3.07 corn. And now here we are at close to $5 corn. The difference between $5 corn and $4.20 to $4.35 could be catastrophic for many operations.
But from the bigger perspective which is the very large market structure we are talking about here, maybe he is right. Maybe we do still need to make the real C before we can get some truly high corn prices. If so, from a grand scheme of things, that $0.65 to $0.80 might not end up being very significant.
I honestly doubt that NEIAAG was on the wrong side of this rally over the last several months. He sees technical nuance that I don’t see and I imagine he protected himself in the short term.
But the way he communicates his bias with certainty can definitely lead to short term chaos for those who follow him loosely. Some operations can withstand some short term chaos and some likely cannot.
In short, he may still be right on the big move. If so we are looking at a huge selling opportunity for not only 2026 but also 2027 (like what IN555 who is totally opposed to technical trading is doing).
In short, I feel NEIAAG likely does well for himself but probably can cause issues (especially in the short term) for those who follow him loosely.
Edited by dpilot83 4/28/2026 07:44
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The Chart
